2024-07-22 05:09:20
Edmundo González Leads in Voter Intentions Ahead of July Presidential Elections
A recent survey conducted by the Political Studies Center of the Andrés Bello Catholic University (CEPyG-UCAB) and the Delphos polling firm has revealed that presidential candidate Edmundo González Urrutia holds a commanding 59.1% of voter intention, significantly ahead of incumbent Nicolás Maduro, who garners only 24.6%. This stark contrast indicates a potential shift in Venezuela’s political landscape as the country prepares for its presidential elections on July 28.
Félix Seijas, director of Delphos, noted that regardless of the turnout scenarios—whether high or moderate—the margin between González and Maduro is projected to fluctuate between 20% and 34% in favor of the opposition. This reflects a growing sentiment for change among the electorate.
The study’s findings emphasize a strong likelihood of voter turnout, with 48.2% of participants expressing a high probability of voting, and an impressive 53.7% indicating they currently plan to cast their ballots. This translates to approximately 9.1 million prospective voters, adding to the four million who are moderately inclined to participate, resulting in a total of 13 million voters—representing 77.1% of the electoral roll.
Benigno Alarcón, head of CEPyG, elaborated on the current political context, suggesting the upcoming elections could lead either to a political transition or to a conflict stemming from electoral fraud. The opposition is perceived to be in its strongest political position yet, contrasting sharply with the government’s apparent vulnerabilities. This scenario sets the stage for a “stunning election,” where a decisive victory for the opposition may force the government into a precarious choice between acknowledging the results or resorting to oppressive tactics to maintain control.
The survey also revealed the ideological divide among voters, with 30.6% identifying as supporters of Chávez, 40% aligning with the opposition, and 29.5% claiming no affiliation. Notably, a considerable 71.3% of respondents believe a change in government is either necessary or urgently needed, underscoring a significant call for political reform in the nation.