“France must show itself that it is a reliable partner, worthy of the resources it has made to provide to Ukraine”

2024-08-05 06:42:23

A that failed to give the group’s hope, the NATO summit held from July 9 to 11 in Washington focused on strengthening the resources of military aid to Ukraine to enable it to face the great war of aggression imposed on it by Russia from July 24 , 2022. However, the envelope of 40 billion euros of multidimensional aid to Ukraine announced at the conference for the next year is less than the sum of the previous two years.

Already the American political trajectory suggests that financial support from Washington will be less than before. Germany, the largest European donor, has just announced that it will reduce the volume of military aid to the Kyv in 2025, from 8 to 4 billion euros. While France is struggling to elect a new government, it is more important than ever that it proves to be a reliable partner, worthy of the means it has decided to provide. Your political credibility is at stake, but also the future security of the European continent.

After two and a half years of war, Ukraine is entering a strategic winter. The failure, in the fall of 2023, of his offensive intended to reconquer part of the territories taken by Russia was followed by a crisis in manpower and weapons. If the law on mobilization, which lowers the age of conscription, and the release of American aid in March makes it possible to partially correct this and stabilize the situation, the force will be carelessness.

For the first time since the beginning of the war, the Russian air force succeeded in putting up a superior form of air. Ukraine, which initially had a large stockpile of surface-to-air missiles, is now running out of interceptors, a shortage for which it now pays taxes.

Winter window

After all, the Ukrainian territory was the target of salvos of submarines and ballistic missiles which destroyed the country’s thermal and electric power stations. Some are planning a new wave of many refugees arriving in Europe, fleeing the cold and the bombs.

In this context, the possible election in November of Donald Trump and his partner JD Vance, who are considered hostile to American financial aid to Ukraine, also darkens the horizon. Even if Kamala Harris wins, the desire to reduce American involvement in the face of a divided Congress is to be expected. In the Kremlin, Vladimir Putin appears to be banking on this trend to take advantage of it. It has enough military stocks and manufacturing capacity to be dominated by electric power. The upcoming winter window is a unique opportunity for him to maximize the benefits from his aggressive campaign.

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