2024-06-01 08:11:10
The working plan for the eleventh Electrical energy Provide and Demand Plan (2024-2038, Electrical energy Plan), which focuses on the development of as much as three new nuclear energy crops and the introduction of 1 small modular reactor (SMR) for the primary time, has been launched. The federal government creates a authorities plan by public hearings based mostly on the related working plan introduced by specialists and submits it to the Nationwide Meeting, the place the draft model is finalized.
Nonetheless, as there may be appreciable opposition from the opposition get together and civil society in opposition to the development of a brand new massive nuclear energy plant, the method till the ultimate plan is confirmed shouldn’t be anticipated to be easy.
In response to the Ministry of Commerce, Business and Vitality on the thirty first, the eleventh Electrical Framework Normal Committee, during which about 90 personal specialists participated, held a briefing at FKI Tower in Yeouido, Seoul, ready a draft of the eleventh Electrical Framework to be utilized from 2024 to 2038, and delivered it to the federal government. .
The electrical energy coverage is Korea’s complete energy coverage that features the essential route of nationwide energy operation, long-term outlook, energy facility plan, and energy demand administration, and is established and applied each two years.
The electrical energy price range predicts how a lot electrical energy demand will improve throughout this era, and accordingly considers the quantity of energy technology amenities wanted and the quantity of latest amenities to be constructed to provide electrical energy.
The core of this eleventh electrical energy price range centered on assembly the electrical energy demand in high-tech industries reminiscent of semiconductors and synthetic intelligence (AI). As a plan for this, an emphasis was positioned on filling greater than 70% of the electrical energy generated in Korea with ‘carbon-free energy technology (CFE)’ by 2038 by balanced improve in new and renewable amenities reminiscent of solar energy and wind energy technology and nuclear energy crops.
In response to the working plan, Korea’s most electrical energy demand by 2038 is anticipated to be 129.3GW. Contemplating the suitable reserve ratio (22%), the required amenities throughout this era had been estimated at 157.8GW, and contemplating the outlook for renewable vitality provide, the confirmed amenities had been estimated at 147.2GW. The extra energy technology capability ensuing from that is 10.6GW.
The committee proposed a plan to cowl 10.6GW of extra energy technology amenities with massive nuclear energy crops, SMR, and LNG cogeneration.
The controversial areas are the development of latest nuclear energy crops and the enlargement of the proportion of liquefied pure gasoline (LNG). The committee proposed a plan to construct as much as three nuclear energy crops by 2038 as a manner to answer the speedy improve in electrical energy demand as a result of new investments in high-tech industries. Together with SMRs, also called ‘mini nuclear energy crops,’ which means 4 new nuclear energy crops can be constructed by 2038.
If the working plan is accepted as is and the plan is applied easily, the home working capability may improve to as much as 33 items by 2038. There are presently 26 nuclear energy crops in operation in Korea, with Shin-Hanul Items 3 and 4 and Saeul Items 3 and 4 nearing completion.
As well as, this working plan contains the continuation of the conversion of outdated coal energy crops to LNG energy crops, which was confirmed within the tenth Electrical energy Framework, and the newly utilized 12 outdated coal energy crops with a design lifetime of 30 years from 2037 to 2038 can be pumped/hydrogenated. The bottom line is to vary to carbon-free energy sources reminiscent of energy technology.
The LNG energy technology ratio for 2030 set within the tenth Electrical energy Framework was 22.9%, however this was elevated to 25.1% within the eleventh Electrical energy Framework. The LNG ratio was additionally elevated from 9.3% by 2036 within the tenth Electrical Framework to 11.1% by 2038 on this working plan.
The half that expanded the proportion of LNG mixed warmth and energy crops or the half that didn’t point out the retirement of coal-fired energy crops can be controversial sooner or later because it may run counter to carbon neutrality in 2050.
In fact, it seems that consideration has been paid to increasing new and renewable amenities. Within the earlier tenth electrical energy price range finalization plan, the goal for supplying photo voltaic and wind energy amenities by 2030 was set at a complete of 65.8GW, however within the eleventh working plan, the 2030 goal was set at 72GW. It is a rise of 9.4% factors.
Particularly, the solar energy provide purpose by 2030 elevated by 20.1% from 44.8GW (tenth Electrical energy Mannequin) to 53.8GW (eleventh Working Plan). Wind energy was revised upward by 11.6% from 16.4GW to 18.3GW.
This seems to have partially accepted the calls for of the opposition get together, which grew in measurement after the final election.
At a gathering with President Yoon Seok-yeol on April 29, Lee Jae-myeong, chief of the Democratic Get together of Korea, stated, “We want a significant change in renewable vitality coverage as we enter the period of vitality transition,” and formally requested that “the electrical energy base have to be reorganized to deal with renewable vitality.” It has been carried out.
He additionally added, “There are considerations a few decline in industrial competitiveness as Korean export corporations are relocating their manufacturing bases abroad as a result of a scarcity of renewable vitality. We have to broaden renewable vitality on a big scale together with the vitality freeway.”
Nonetheless, together with the ‘enlargement of renewable vitality’, some opposition events, together with the Democratic Get together, have continued to take the place of ‘opposition to the enlargement of latest nuclear energy crops’, so the method of finalizing the ultimate plan, which focuses on constructing three massive nuclear energy crops, shouldn’t be anticipated to be easy.
Based mostly on this working plan, the federal government should instantly put together a authorities invoice and undergo public hearings and a report back to the Nationwide Meeting Standing Committee. Nonetheless, there may be appreciable opposition from civil society, and it’s unclear whether or not the working plan may be absolutely handed with the ruling and opposition events within the Nationwide Meeting.
With a purpose to construct a brand new nuclear energy plant, a website have to be chosen and the difficulty of high-level radioactive waste disposal have to be resolved. Within the strategy of fixing these issues, there’s a robust chance that varied difficulties, together with opposition from residents, can be encountered.
On this present day, Greenpeace issued an announcement mentioning, “The renewable vitality energy technology targets (21.6% in 2030 and 32.9% in 2038) introduced within the eleventh Electrical energy Framework should not adequate to realize the NDC (Nationwide Greenhouse Fuel Discount Goal).”
Local weather Options additionally stated in a briefing, “The federal government’s forecast of 72GW of renewable vitality in 2030 is a small determine that doesn’t meet the 2050 carbon neutrality situation of any analysis institute,” including, “From a minimal of 36% (110GW) to a most of 53% (199GW) in 2030. “Renewable vitality is required,” he stated.
He continued by criticizing, “It’s silly to extend the demand forecast for causes reminiscent of knowledge facilities and to present a optimistic analysis as a result of the goal energy technology quantity has elevated barely although the goal for the share of renewable vitality technology stays the identical.”
(Sejong = Information 1)
2024-06-01 08:11:10