Monday, 19 October 2026NewsWorldBusinessTech
Latest

Goldman Sachs Upgrades CoreWeave to Buy Despite Market Sell-Off

Goldman Sachs upgraded CoreWeave to buy on Monday, lowering its price target to $106 after a steep market sell-off. The upgrade highlights the company’s asset-backed project financing model as a defense against rising borrowing costs, even as volatile credit markets push some of its bond yields toward 15%.

Goldman Sachs Upgrades CoreWeave to Buy Despite Market Turbulence

CoreWeave shares jumped 6% in premarket trading on Monday following an analyst upgrade from Goldman Sachs, which shifted its rating on the neocloud stock from neutral to buy. The change arrives on the heels of a brutal week for the artificial intelligence cloud provider. Shares had plunged 25% over five trading sessions and fallen 43% since August 11, battered by mounting credit-market volatility, rising financing costs, and investor anxiety over the sheer scale of the company’s capital expenditures.

Even with the upgrade, Goldman Sachs lowered its price target on CoreWeave stock from $139 to $106. That revised figure still implies nearly 73% upside from the stock’s recent close near $61.27, according to calculations from the underlying market data. Goldman analyst Gabriela Borges argued that investors had overreacted to the company’s debt load while underestimating its operational strengths and financing structures.

Borges defined quality in a note to clients as the ability to execute high-performance graphics processing unit clusters at speed and the potential to build durable moats by moving beyond pure infrastructure-as-a-service offerings. The upgrade aligns with broader Wall Street consensus where 31 out of 44 analysts covering the company maintain buy or strong buy ratings, based on LSEG data.

How Asset-Backed Project Financing Shields CoreWeave From Debt Pressures

The central debate among investors involves how CoreWeave plans to fund its massive infrastructure expansion. The company has taken on more than $51 billion of debt to finance AI infrastructure, and billionaire investor Chamath Palihapitiya estimated on a recent podcast episode that the firm needs another $35 billion in borrowing to finance its existing customer commitments.

Goldman Sachs Upgrades CoreWeave to Buy, Sees 73% Upside Despite Deepening Financing Fears
Photo: roic.ai

Bond markets have reflected that immense capital demand with severe repricing. Debt issued by CoreWeave in June at a yield of 9.675% traded near 15% recently, with certain 2031 maturities climbing even higher. Yet Goldman Sachs contends that traditional corporate debt metrics fail to capture how CoreWeave actually borrows money.

According to Borges, the company relies primarily on delayed draw term loans, which function as asset-backed project financings rather than conventional corporate debt.

This structure ties borrowing directly to valuable graphics processing units and contracts with creditworthy customers such as Microsoft. By the time a customer contract expires, the associated debt has often been substantially or fully repaid. This leaves CoreWeave to capture residual value from its equipment fleet or pursue re-leasing opportunities without the burden of ongoing interest expenses.

Goldman Sachs estimates that CoreWeave’s blended cost of debt will likely rise by 100 to 200 basis points, but expects the company to cap its weighted average cost of capital so that equity return profiles remain attractive.

Financial Scale and the Broader AI Infrastructure Backlog

Underpinning the financing debate are the company’s operating figures. Founded in 2017 and listed on Nasdaq in March 2025, CoreWeave rents computing capacity built around Nvidia processors to major technology firms including Microsoft and OpenAI. At June 30, it reported approximately 1.5 gigawatts of active power, 3.7 gigawatts of contracted power, and $77.1 billion in total assets.

Goldman Sachs Upgrades CoreWeave to Buy Despite Market Sell-Off
Photo: cnbc.com
Financial MetricQ2 2026 FigurePrior Year Comparison
Revenue$2.575 billion$1.212 billion
GAAP Operating Loss$49 millionNot specified
Net Loss$626 million$290 million
Net Interest Expense$640 million$267 million
Adjusted EBITDA$1.510 billion (59% margin)Not specified

During the first half of 2026, the company generated $3.663 billion in operating cash flow but spent $14.117 billion on property and equipment.

Diverging Wall Street Opinions and Prediction Market Sentiment

Wall Street remains sharply divided over the risks facing neocloud providers.

Goldman Sachs Upgrades CoreWeave on Improving AI Contract Economics

On prediction markets such as Polymarket, traders assigned a 29% probability to CoreWeave announcing bankruptcy by the end of 2029, with roughly $270,000 in total trading volume recorded across the market. D.A. Davidson analyst Gil Luria cautioned last week that shareholders could face total losses if the broader artificial intelligence spending boom stumbles.

Meanwhile, executive leadership has pushed back against market pessimism.