Government Ursula if Draghi goes to Colle. The scenarios that shake the palaces

by time news

Mario Draghi (source Lapresse)

A Draghi government even after 2023? A dry question asked by Corriere della Sera a Renato Brunetta and to which the minister for the PA responded equally clearly: “And why not?”. In reality, there are many like him who hope for such a scenario which, however, does not take into account the variable elections to the Quirinale and therefore that the chair on the highest hill can be destined precisely for the former president of the ECB. The reason is simple: don’t let go Recovery plan which means projects, huge funding and above all epochal reforms to be done and managed. To support this solution, in reality, there is then all – or almost – the parliamentary arc, always reluctant to consider the possibility of early voting. But if instead Draghi, with all due respect to the aspirations of many, starting with Dario Franceschini, was Mattarella’s predestined successor?
The scenarios that would open are at least two. The first hypothesis in the field could be another government of the president, precisely in the footsteps of the one wanted by Sergio Mattarella. Except that to indicate the personality that should guide him this time would be Draghi himself. Also in order to continue to closely follow the decisive game of the Recovery, on which the premier has put his face in Brussels. It is difficult, however, that in an executive of this type – among other things lasting only one year (before the natural dissolution of the legislature) – the League, which is already pawing now, could be there. In fact, in the name of Draghi, the Carroccio, despite all the difficulties of the case, fought between the fighting party and the government, is resisting the Melonian sirens. But after?

Unless super Mario manages to come up with a name that can convince the Northern League, it is easier for the “sovereign” front to consolidate itself against the opposition. And here, then, the only exit strategy would be one majority Ursula. With the center-left and Come on Italy inside (since the M5s is already struggling with a majority together with the Azzurri), but also with that centrist pole still in a nutshell, from + Europe ad Action of Carlo Calenda, who already at the time of the unsuccessful attempt to give life to the Count ter insisted on this path. This is therefore the most easily predictable scenario to date. However, if it is true that in politics the saying “never say never” applies, next year we could also find ourselves, to the delight of the Brothers of Italy, facing an early dissolution of the Chambers. So yes, what Brunetta claims could happen. If Draghi does not go up to the Hill, in fact, by going to the vote with the current electoral law, it is highly probable that he will again find himself in a stalemate.

With no force capable of expressing a prime minister and with Brussels’ breath on the neck that will monitor compliance with the implementation deadlines of the NRP, the card of the former ECB number one could once again be the only one in the field. It is not a strange hypothesis: the reform of the electoral law got bogged down in Parliament. After the green light for the basic text of a proportional system in the Constitutional Affairs Committee, no progress has been made. If anything, someone back, given the pressing of the Democratic Party to lead Enrico Read for a completely opposite system law, ie majority. On the one hand, therefore, there is the variable electoral law and the high probability that it will return to the vote with Rosatellum. But on the other hand there is the health condition of the parties.

The center-right, to begin with, would have the numbers only on paper. Its compactness, in fact, is no longer so granite. With Lega and Fratelli d’Italia who are fighting continuously and will continue to do so, fishing in the same electoral basin. And with Forza Italia that talks with the Democratic Party, finding, among other things, the bank in the dem house. Secretary Letta does not rule out future alliances with FI at all and has explicitly explained it in recent days as a guest of a TV program: “In Europe we are allies and in the Council of Ministers Brunetta, Carfagna and Gelmini are the ones who get along well with our ministers , they do things together without problems “, he said. If the center-right, therefore, is anything but united – and the still distant agreement on the candidates for the administrative offices is proof of this -, in the center-left it is no better. , despite the reorganization by Giuseppe Conte, that the Five Star Movement manages to achieve the same results as previous policies. This is why, in short, in the end almost all roads, looking at the current picture, seem to lead back to Mario Draghi.

You may also like

Leave a Comment