Hezbollah’s Weak Speech: Escaping Responsibility and Assessing Nasrallah’s Relationship with Iran

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Title: Nasrallah’s Weak Speech Sparks Disappointment and Anger in the Arab World

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Date: [Date]

In a recent interview, Middle East expert and vice rector at Tel Aviv University, Prof. Eyal Zisser, criticized Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah’s speech, describing it as a weak attempt to escape responsibility. Zisser suggests that Nasrallah’s troubled situation might explain his reluctance to engage in a war with Israel, despite his previous focus on using the issue of soldiers as a card to deter any Israeli aggression.

Zisser asserts that the ongoing strength of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF), consisting of approximately 300,000 soldiers compared to Hezbollah’s 20-30,000 troops, discourages Nasrallah from initiating a war. The professor highlights the disparity in military capability and the potential devastating consequences for Hezbollah and Lebanon if they were to engage in a conflict with Israel. Moreover, he emphasizes that Nasrallah’s understanding of the current situation is crucial in restraining Hezbollah from taking any aggressive action.

The discussion also touches upon Hezbollah’s relationship with Iran, with Zisser stating that Nasrallah is considered an equal among top Iranian officials. However, he notes that the Iranians cannot dictate Nasrallah’s actions as Soleimani once did. Zisser believes that Nasrallah’s commitment to Iran and the absence of Soleimani have led to cautious decision-making regarding a potential war.

Regarding the eagerly anticipated speech, Zisser attributes the high expectations to Hezbollah’s effective public relations system, as well as the hopes of Palestinians for support from Hezbollah amidst the ongoing conflict with Israel. However, Zisser points out that Nasrallah’s words did not meet these expectations, leaving the Palestinians angry and disappointed.

While potential miscalculations or a change in Iran’s position could influence Nasrallah’s decision-making, Zisser emphasizes that the Hezbollah leader’s commitment to Iran and the desire to avoid Lebanon resembling Gaza makes it unlikely for him to initiate a war with Israel at present.

In summarizing the situation, Zisser highlights that despite the importance of Nasrallah as a player in the region, Israel currently holds an advantageous position that is not fully understood. He suggests that Israel should utilize this advantage to redefine the security reality on its northern border without resorting to an all-out war.

As the speech reverberates across the region, it remains to be seen how Nasrallah’s weak performance will affect Hezbollah’s standing and influence in the Arab world.

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