Under the impetus of the BA5 variant, the epidemic is experiencing an unexpected resurgence.
The summer is barely beginning when the curves of the Covid epidemic already seem to be heading towards peaks that we hoped will be unmatchable. There are indeed more than 80,000 cases per day, while we had fallen to less than 20,000 at the end of May. For the moment, the health authorities seem a little flabbergasted by the speed of this wave and seem to be counting on the only “common sense” individual to contain it. The Minister of Health, Brigitte Bourguignon, thus contented herself with recommending the wearing of a mask in transport, without taking the slightest additional measure.
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If this non-choice divides the experts, it is also because we are currently in a storm without a compass: for the first time since the start of the epidemic, no modeling has been published to anticipate the evolution of the situation. and the approximate height of the peak. “There are now a lot of different immunity profiles that make modeling difficult,” explains Simon Cauchemez…
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