Janet Yellen’s Talks with China: Moderating the Deep Chill

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Title: Yellen’s Talks With Chinese Officials Moderate Tensions, But Conflicts Remain

Date: [Current Date]

The recent visit of Treasury Secretary Janet L. Yellen to China has brought about a slight thaw in relations between the United States and China. Yellen engaged in extensive discussions with top economic policymakers in Beijing, in an attempt to find common ground amidst escalating tensions between the two nations. However, while the talks showed some signs of progress, both sides remain entrenched in their policy positions, suggesting further conflicts on trade, investment, and technology.

One of the key objectives of Yellen’s visit was to establish connections with China’s new economic leadership, a team of officials appointed by President Xi Jinping. These individuals, including Yellen’s counterpart Vice Premier He Lifeng, have less international experience and are relatively unknown to policymakers in the West. Yellen also aimed to gain insights into the state of the Chinese economy, which has experienced a slower-than-expected recovery following the lifting of pandemic restrictions.

During the 10-hour talks, Yellen had some success in achieving these objectives, particularly in engaging with Vice Premier He and three other senior economic policymakers. These discussions marked the first high-level economic talks between the United States and China since the Biden administration took office. R. Nicholas Burns, the United States ambassador to China, emphasized the importance of reopening such economic dialogues to address disagreements and align interests between the world’s two largest economies.

One notable shift in Yellen’s approach was her use of a new term, “diverse,” to describe supply chains, rather than the previously adopted term of “decoupling.” Chinese officials have strongly opposed the idea of decoupling, fearing the relocation of multinational companies’ supply chains and jobs from China to other countries. By emphasizing the need for diverse supply chains, Yellen aimed to assuage China’s concerns and align with China’s long-standing policy goal of diversifying critical supply chains.

Despite these efforts, the talks did not result in any concrete policy breakthroughs or resolutions of ongoing trade, investment, and technology issues. China recently imposed restrictions on the export of gallium and germanium, key materials for computer chips, seen as potential retaliation for American limits on semiconductor exports to China. Yellen acknowledged the retaliatory potential of China’s actions while also hinting at potential American restrictions on Chinese high-tech investments.

Yellen, however, remained optimistic and emphasized that conflict between the two nations is not inevitable. She called for a cautious approach in navigating the complex relationship between the United States and China. While the talks moderated tensions, it is clear that significant challenges and disagreements persist.

Overall, although Yellen’s visit provided a platform for dialogue and engagement, the United States and China are still grappling with substantial obstacles. The future trajectory of their economic relationship remains uncertain, with both sides poised for potential conflicts in the areas of trade, investment, and technology.

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