NHK exit poll: “Up to 219 seats out of 465”
Asahi “Liberty-Republican coalition falls short of majority”
Liberal Democratic Party suffers worst election defeat in 15 years
Ishiba faces crisis just one month after taking office as prime minister
The ruling Liberal Democratic Party, led by Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, is expected to fail to secure a majority of seats (233 seats) in the House of Representatives (House of Representatives) election held on the 27th. It is not easy for the ruling party as a whole, along with the ruling coalition Komeito Party, to secure a majority.
According to NHK, the ruling Liberal Democratic Party secured 123 seats out of 465 seats as of 10:40 p.m. on this day, when vote counting was in progress. According to the NHK exit poll results (as of 8 p.m.) announced after the end of voting that day, the Liberal Democratic Party was predicted to secure 153 to 219 seats out of a total of 465 seats. Komeito, the ruling coalition, was expected to win 21 to 35 seats. In its own exit poll, the Asahi Shimbun predicted that the ruling party would not reach a majority, with the Liberal Democratic Party winning 185 seats and the Komeito Party winning around 26 seats. They lost a large number of seats compared to before the election (LDP 256 seats, Komeito Party 32 seats).
If the final results are similar to the exit poll results of NHK Broadcasting and Asahi Shimbun, the Liberal Democratic Party will receive its worst report card in 15 years after losing power in the 2009 general election and losing power to the Democratic Party (predecessor of the Constitutional Democratic Party). In Japan, which has a parliamentary system, the party that wins the majority of seats in the general election takes power. If a majority cannot be secured, the government can only be maintained by forming a coalition with other parties. Prime Minister Ishiba, who took office on the 1st of this month, dissolved the National Assembly eight days after taking office and threw a bid for an early general election, but it appears he will lose the general election, raising the possibility that he will face the biggest crisis in less than a month after taking office.
Since returning to power in the 2012 general election, the Liberal Democratic Party has continued to secure a single majority. After the re-establishment of power, he won 256 to 294 seats in the four general elections held and reigned as the ‘absolute leader.’ However, the true face of corruption was exposed due to the factional slush fund scandal that broke out at the end of last year, and as inflation continued to rise and real wages decreased, public dissatisfaction grew. There is an assessment that this public sentiment was reflected in this general election as well.
NHK Broadcasting predicted that the main opposition party, the Constitutional Democratic Party, would win 128 to 191 seats, making a significant advance compared to before the election (98 seats). As of 10:40 p.m. on this day, the Constitutional Democratic Party was found to have already secured 101 seats. This is the largest number of seats since the predecessor, the Democratic Party, succeeded in changing the government in 2009.
As the Liberal Democratic Party fails to secure a single majority, it is expected that criticism of Prime Minister Ishiba will be held accountable. In particular, there is a possibility that conservative hardliners who oppose Prime Minister Ishiba will try to ‘bring down Ishiba’.
Tokyo = Correspondent Lee Sang-hoon [email protected]
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