2024-07-31 07:00:00
Leaving the CNN studios in Atlanta on the evening of June 27, the Democratic campaign was on the verge of implosion. After Joe Biden’s disastrous debate, calls for the octogenarian candidate to withdraw are increasing, as fears grow that Donald Trump will continue his endless road to the White House. A month later, the chaos of the American campaign matched the concerns raised at the time. A little more than a week after Joe Biden’s withdrawal, the momentum surrounding candidate Kamala Harris has given an unexpected breath of fresh air to the Democratic campaign.
Well aided by the support of all the heavyweights of the party, including that of former President Barack Obama, the vice-presidential campaign has put itself to work. “It is interesting to see how quickly the question of an open primary to replace Biden was dismissed,” pointed out Françoise Coste, author of Reagan (Perrin, 2018) and specialized historian in America. In two or three days, the debate is not about whether he will be a candidate, but about who his vice president will be. “
It was enough to revive a Democratic campaign that had been in limbo for months. A week after passing the torch, Harris’ teams announced that they had received $200 million in donations (in addition to the pot already set by Biden). At the same time, the number of volunteers willing to participate has exploded with 170,000 additional registrations. “Everything changed last week for the Democrats,” summed up Jacob Heilbrunn, editor-in-chief of the American Review. The National interest. Republicans are starting to show signs of division and don’t know how to proceed. “
Change of voting powers
Galvanized by Trump’s success during the first debate, then by the billionaire’s reaction after the failed assassination attempt against him on July 13, the Republican camp is witnessing today a dramatic change in the campaign. “The political game was extremely favorable to Donald Trump in the last week, recalls Romain Huret, historian of the United States and president of the School of Advanced Studies in Social Sciences (EHESS). a very strong regression of the voting power.” And for the Democrats, to finally take back control.
According to an ABC News/Ipsos poll published on July 28, the vice president’s approval rating climbed to 42%, compared to 35% a week earlier. The jump is even more marked in the category of independent voters, among whom it has now reached 44%, compared to only 28% seven days ago. According to another poll published by Fox News two days ago, Harris and Trump are neck and neck in four key states. The two candidates are tied in Michigan and Pennsylvania, while the Democrat wins by 6 points in Minnesota (52% against 46%) and the Republican dominates Wisconsin by a small point (50% compared to 49%) .
Faced with this rise in the power of the Democratic candidate, many Republican officials have already tried to warn against open racism or sexist attacks targeting the vice-president of Indo-Jamaican origin. “This election will be about policies, not people,” said the Republican Speaker of the House of Representatives, Mike Johnson, on July 23. “There is nothing personal about Kamala Harris and her race or gender. it has nothing to do with any of this.”
Donald Trump “terrible”
In a sign of growing tension, Donald Trump attacked the conservative Fox News channel on July 29, accusing him of covering up his opposition’s meetings. “Why is Fox News broadcasting crazy Kamala Harris rallies? Why is it embarrassing the detractors of the failed Lincoln campaign (editor’s note: political action committee founded by Republicans-Trump) , to announce on Fox News? candidate, before adding: “We will have to WIN WITHOUT FOX!” The same day, Donald Trump questioned his participation in the second debate scheduled for September 10.
In fact, the current vice-presidential candidate upsets all the battle plans that the Republican parties have made in recent months. “Today the attacks on Biden’s age have been irrevocably turned against Trump,” Romain Huret emphasized. Facing a candidate nearly 20 years his junior, the billionaire now finds himself in the unlikely role of the oldest candidate set to win the White House. “My brother is afraid,” said Mary Trump, the billionaire’s niece, on her blog Substack The Good in Us on July 24. “He is running against a strong black woman – and a former lawyer – who is not afraid to call him out or make fun of him his whole campaign strategy is based on attacking Joe Biden – his age, his disability, his lack of knowledge.
With less than 100 days until the election, it remains to be seen whether the “honeymoon” around the Harris campaign can last until the election. “The Democrats should dominate the political debate at least until their congress at the end of August, Françoise Coste concluded, but it can be hard at the beginning of the school year when we will have to take our hands dirty as the election approaches.” Undoubtedly the American campaign also has its share of twists and turns in store.
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