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8 days to the 2022 elections: The parties are in a last ditch effort to improve positions ahead of Voter’s Day on November 1st, but is this reflected in the results? According to a survey here by Network B that was published today (Monday), Yair Lapid is weakening, while Netanyahu maintains his strength and Smotrich and Ben Gvir, who strengthened in the last polls and reached a record figure, register a decline. But does all this affect the bloc map and Netanyahu’s chance of reaching 61 mandates?
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According to the survey data, Netanyahu retains 31 mandates and the future of Yair Lapid’s mandate drops to 24. The state camp led by Benny Gantz is strengthened to 12 mandates, the religious Zionism of Smotrich and Ben Gvir decreases in mandate to 13.
The one that is gaining strength within the Netanyahu bloc is Shas, which wins the poll with 9 seats, Torah Judaism maintains 7 seats, Lieberman and Israel Beitenu weaken in the seat to 6 seats and Avoda and Michali with 5 seat seats.
Rounding out the list are Zehava Galon’s Meretz with 5 mandates and the Arab parties – Ra’am and Hadash-Ta’al, which each receive 4 mandates.
According to these results, the image of the nodules does not change. Netanyahu’s bloc wins 60 mandates, while the current coalition reaches 56 mandates.
below the blocking percentage
Sami Abu Shahada’s BLD remains far below the threshold with 1.8%, Ayelet Shaked and the Jewish House fail to rise and weaken to 1.6%. Yaron Zelicha with 1.5% and Hadar Mokhtar’s Burning Youth with 1.2%.
The survey by the Kantar Institute and Dodi Hasid. Sample: 752 men and women aged 18 and over, Internet and telephone sampling, including the Arab sector. Date of fieldwork: October 23, 2022. Number of people asked to answer the survey: 4,362. Sampling error: +3.6