2024-06-01 18:14:08
New Delhi: With the seventh and last section of the Lok Sabha elections 2024, the most important pageant of democracy has come to an finish right now. In a while, the outcomes of Exit Ballot 2024 will begin coming. It’s believed that the exit ballot offers a transparent image of the election outcome as to which celebration is getting the mandate and who’s going to seize energy on the Middle? Are exit polls all the time correct? Tell us how a lot distinction was there between the outcomes of the exit polls of 2014 and 2019 and the precise outcomes.
In 2014, a mean of 8 exit polls had predicted that the BJP-led NDA would win 283 seats and the Congress-led UPA would win 105 seats. The exit polls didn’t predict the extent of the ‘Modi wave’ that yr and the NDA acquired 336 seats and the UPA a mere 60. Of those, the BJP gained 282 and the Congress 44.
Exit polls vs precise leads to 2014
In 2014, most exit polls predicted the BJP-led NDA to come back to energy, however didn’t precisely predict the landslide victory that adopted. Here’s a breakdown of how correct the exit polls have been –
Forecast for NDA
- India As we speak-Cicero: NDA is projected to get 272 seats
- Information 24 Chanakya: 340 seats
- CNN-IBN-CSDS: 280 seats
- Occasions Now org: 249 seats
- ABP Information-Nielsen: 274 seats
- NDTV-Hansa Analysis: 279 seats
Forecast on UPA
- India As we speak-Cicero: UPA projected to get 115 seats
- Information 24 Chanakya: 101 seats
- CNN-IBN-CSDS: 97 seats
- Occasions Now org: 148 seats
- ABP Information-Nielsen: 97 seats
- NDTV-Hansa Analysis: 103 seats
Precise outcomes
- NDA: 336 seats; BJP gained 282 seats
- UPA: 60 seats; Congress gained solely 44 seats
A median of 13 exit polls in 2019 had put the mixed tally of NDA at 306 and UPA at 120. This once more underestimated the efficiency of NDA, which gained a complete of 353 seats. UPA acquired 93 seats. Of those, BJP gained 303 and Congress 52.
Exit polls vs precise leads to 2019
Forecast for NDA
- India As we speak-Axis: 339-365 seats
- Information 24 As we speak Chanakya: 350 seats
- News18-Ipsos: 336 seats
- Occasions Now VMR: 306 seats
- India TV-CNX: 300 seats
- Sudarshan Information: 305 seats
Forecast for the UPA
- India As we speak-Axis: 77-108 seats
- Information 24 As we speak Chanakya: 95 seats
- News18-Ipsos: 82 seats
- Occasions Now VMR: 132 seats
- India TV-CNX: 120 seats
- Sudarshan Information: 124 seats
Precise outcomes
- NDA: Received 352 seats. BJP alone acquired 303 seats.
- UPA: Received 91 seats. Congress acquired 52 seats.