All indications are that the coalition led by Bennett-Lapid is nearing the end of its term and the road to the polls is getting shorter, but will new elections change the political map and lead to a clear decision between the blocs? A poll by Menachem Lazar at the Panels Politics Institute shows that if the election had taken place today, Netanyahu’s bloc of supporters would still not be able to cross the 60-seat threshold, but it is very close due to the dangerous proximity of parties in the current coalition to the blocking percentage.
According to the poll, the Likud party is headed Benjamin Netanyahu It would have won the 25th Knesset election by 34 seats, a decrease of one seat compared to the previous poll. There is a future led by Yair Lapid maintains its power as the second largest party and receives 21 seats in the current poll, compared to 20 in the previous poll.
An impressive leap makes the Religious Zionist Party headed Bezalel SmutrichWith Jewish power of Itamar Ben Gvir, Which stands as the third largest party and receives 11 seats, compared to 9 in the previous poll. Blue and white led by Bnei Gantz stable with 8 seats. The number of seats is the same as Shas. Stability also records Torah Judaism and the joint list. Each with 7 seats, as in the previous survey.
Right headed Naftali Bennett, Who was elected to the 24th Knesset with 7 seats, pays the price of the shocks she faces following the resignation of Idit Silman from the coalition and the question mark over Nir Orbach’s continuation: . Yisrael Beiteinu also fails to rise and receives 5 seats.
Naftali Bennett in the Knesset (Photo: Mark Israel Salem)The picture of the seats is closed by the three parties in the current coalition, with an alarming proximity to the blocking percentage: a new hope led by Gideon Saar Gets this the second poll in a row 4 seats, as well as RAAM headed Mansour Abbas. Below the blocking percentage is the third consecutive poll by the left-wing Meretz party, which receives only 2.5% compared to 2.6% in the previous survey. Meretz is thus paying the price for the internal brawl with the rebel in its ranks, MK Jida Rinawi ZoabiWhose conduct threatens the integrity of the coalition.
The current coalition bloc receives 53 seats in the poll compared to 60 of the opposition, with the joint list with 7 seats. The survey also shows that the majority of the public, 39%, prefer new elections to the Knesset compared to 28% who prefer the continuation of the current government term and only 19% who would like to form an alternative government in the current Knesset. Another figure indicates that 45% of the public support the current government bringing the “defendant’s law” to a vote in the Knesset (see article on these pages) compared to 33% who oppose it.
The survey was attended by 519 members of Panel4All’s respondents’ panel for online research, and was conducted on a representative sample of the adult population in the State of Israel aged 18 and over, Jews and Arabs alike. The survey was conducted on June 8, 2022. The maximum sampling error is 4.3%.