2024-08-02 16:36:15
“I couldn’t even really say who are the social democrats?” What four names would I name, and they should still be remembered. If such a decrease is a trend, then there is nothing good for them”, – to the portal lrytas.lt claimed Vilmorus manager, sociologist Vladas Gaidys.
According to him, the Labor Party, which is not maturing out of the quagmire of troubles, has something to think about. If the “workers” thought that returning to the sinking ship, its captain Viktoras Uspaskich would save his comrades with his bright personality, the ratings show otherwise.
Who did best?
If the Seimas elections were held next Sunday, the Lithuanian Social Democratic Party (LSDP) would win them – 17 percent would vote for it. survey participants. The last Vilmorus survey was conducted almost six months ago – in March. At that time, 20.3 percent voted for the Social Democrats. respondents.
Counting only those survey participants who said they would come to the elections to vote, 26.4 percent voted for LSDP. respondents. Half a year ago, there were 30.4 percent of them. Exactly a year ago – 31.1 percent.
According to V. Gaidis, the popularity of social democrats is declining due to their passivity. The past six months have been very intense in politics, even two elections were held, and the Social Democrats were not active in them, they did not even nominate their candidate in the presidential elections, they decided to support G. Nausėdas.
“I couldn’t even really say who are the social democrats?” What four names would I name, and they should still be remembered. If such a decrease is a trend, then there is nothing good for them”, commented the sociologist.
People could also be annoyed by party chairwoman Vilija Blinkevičiūtė’s stomping about her future, her obvious reluctance to return to work in Lithuania from the much more comfortable and better-paid Brussels. This is also proven by her own personal rating that has fallen.
“As for the Social Democrats, there is a surprising age dependence among their voters. Among people who are over 70 years old, close to 40% choose them. survey participants, and among young people – only 7 percent. The difference is even six times”, V. Gaidys calculated.
It was in March that there was sadness in the camp of the Patriotic Union-Lithuanian Christian Democrats (TS-LKD) – the lowest rating of conservatives since the 2020 elections was recorded.
Then only 7.4% gave the answer that they would vote for TS-LKD. of those interviewed. The anger with Arvydas Anušauskas, who abruptly left the post of minister, was so painful for the conservatives.
Now the situation has stabilized. In July, 10.1 percent expressed sympathy for the conservatives. respondents, they returned to the second position of the table.
Counting from those who voted, TS-LKD elected 15.7 percent. survey participants, and a year ago – 16.1 percent. polled, so the ratings of conservatives remained unchanged.
“And the situation regarding the age of the voters is completely different with them than with the Social Democrats – they have many liberal politicians, which is why they are elected by young people,” pointed out the manager of Vilmorus.
The Union of Lithuanian Peasants and Greens (LVŽS) is in third place. If the elections were held next Sunday, 8.9 percent would vote for peasants. survey participants. In March, they were 9.9 percent.
The Democratic Union “Vardan Lietuvos” (DSVL) is in the fourth position. Support for the Democrats led by Saulius Skvernelis decreased in half a year. In July, 6.6 percent chose them. of those surveyed, in March – 9.6 percent.
“Peasants are simply more active – R. Karbauskis and others are often seen on those opposition televisions, where you can see that they are buying time, famous people say something after an hour… And the Democrats are hard to get a feel for, it’s hard to understand who their electorate is, what their program preferences are “, said V. Gaidys.
The top five is rounded off by Remigijaus Žemaitaitis’ recently founded party “Nemunas Aušra”, which received 6.4% of the vote. survey participants (9.9% of those who voted). This is the first time that this lot has been included in the Vilmorus ratings.
The sociologist emphasized that R. Žemaitaitis won votes from the Labor Party, the Party of Regions and some from LVŽS.
“They are popular in district centers and rural areas. Not so much in Vilnius,” he stated.
Counting only from those who voted, the Liberal movement would also jump over the bar to the Seimas. They were chosen by 4.6 percent in July. of survey participants (6.3 percent in March), but if only the answers of those who would go to vote are evaluated, the liberals’ account would be 7.1 percent. of votes.
The Party of Regions of Lithuania ranks next in the ranking table with 3.1 percent. of votes, the Labor Party with 2.8 percent. (4.7 percent in March) of votes, the Freedom Party with 2.8 percent. votes and Polish election campaign – Union of Christian Families with 1.1 percent. respondents’ votes.
“Even the return of Viktor Uspaskich did not help the Labor Party. He and himself – with a very low rating. Andriaus Mazuronis was taller,” said V. Gaidys.
Kilo G. Nausėda, V. Čmilytė-Nielsen
President Gitanas Nausėda remains the most popular politician in the country without competition. According to the latest poll, 70.1 percent of the population approves of the president. survey participants (in March – 64.9 percent of positive assessments).
According to V. Gaidis, this survey took place after the inauguration of the president and the just-celebrated victory in the elections, so G. Nausėda is now like on the wings, he was seen a lot.
Exactly one year ago, in July of last year, the ratings of the country’s leader reached 68.8%, and even then they were stretched to the top, because at that time the NATO summit was held in Vilnius, during which G. Nausėda was in the center of attention.
The leader of the Social Democrats, V. Blinkevičiūtė, remains in second place, although she has somewhat scattered her sympathizers over the course of half a year. Liepa V. Blinkevičiūtė was favorably evaluated by 45.9 percent. respondents, in March – 50.4 percent. of those interviewed. Exactly a year ago – 49 percent. survey participants.
“She doesn’t even feel the desire to be the first or to achieve something,” noted the head of Vilmorus.
The third place was taken over from the former Minister of National Defense A. Anušauskas by the new Minister Laurynas Kasčiūnas. L. Kasčiūnas is favorably evaluated by 40.6 percent. survey participants. This is a very similar ranking to that of A. Anušauskas. The latter was just a few percentage points higher last time.
“This is a good result. He is the only one of the representatives of the Homeland Union who is ranked, who has a plus sign. He is also the only one of the ministers,” said the sociologist.
The Speaker of the Seimas, Viktorija Čmilytė-Nielsen, is behind the top three, who can be proud of her greatly increased popularity. In July, 41.4 percent rated it positively. survey participants.
“This is the highest result of V. Čmilytė-Nielsen in recent years. Maybe she managed to maneuver in the context of I. Šimonytė, the ruling coalition, when there were all kinds of disagreements, anger, tensions. She has the image of a stable politician”, said V. Gaidys.
Prime Minister I.Šimonytė’s rating also rose a little. In July, 24.6 percent rated the Prime Minister positively. of those surveyed, in March – 20 percent. respondents.
2024-08-02 16:36:15