2024-04-03 09:08:43
April begins this Monday and with it comes the popular consultation. Although the president Daniel Noboa has enjoyed a high rating for his managementa polling company has already recorded that approval, although it remains high, has begun to decline.
For what is this?
Until January 22, the work of the first president, according to data from Opinion Profiles, enjoyed 85.47% approval; but 42 days later the panorama changed: the index fell 11.42 points.
The survey was carried out on 613 people from Quito and Guayaquil, between 18 and 65 years old. According to the survey firmthe confidence interval of the study is 95%.
This is the first decline since he assumed the Presidency November 23, 2023. On the other hand, the negative rating of his management increased. From 11.32% it rose to 25.95%.
Although this could be due to the natural wear and tear that occurs with the exercise of power by political authorities, which is complicatedin reality it would be related to the impact of the economic policy that is being implemented, comments Kevin García, lawyer, expert in criminal and constitutional law. “Although this impact cannot be directly measured, there is already a trace of how this level of wear and tear will affect its popularity.”
For Johanna Naranjo, teacher and expert in Political Communication, this slight decrease is due to the announcement of the increase in the Value Added Tax (VAT), since “a tax will always be unpopular”, because it will never be well received, because it directly affects the pockets of citizens. However, this is not the only thing that has influenced, he maintains.
The lack of a long-term plan to counter crime and insecurity This is what has also influenced your rating., says Naranjo. Alfredo Espinosa, an expert in Latin American studies, political analyst and electoral issues, agrees with her, since, apparently, the security story, in the terms in which the internal armed conflict was structured, has mutated.
This because The government has made reactive decisions in the face of a structural problem, since the president’s interest is to remain in power, in the medium and long term, says Espinosa. In addition, the effect of the state of emergency is fading, because violence is increasing again, García indicates.
Among them, the one recorded last weekend: the murder of the mayor of the Manabi canton San Vicente, Brigitte García. Furthermore, in the last weeks of this month, Violent events have increased within the still current state of emergency. And, before which, the president himself had to be present in the ‘Resurge 11’ operation, which was carried out on Tuesday, March 26, in the first and second stages of Socio Housing, the northwest of Guayaquil, one of the most conflicts in the city.
The research company Imasen, in a survey of 1,500 people on March 16 and 19, revealed that 38.3% estimate that this is one more crisis than we always have. While 36.3% think it is one of the worst crises in history. On the other hand, although 17.8% believe that there are problems, it does not amount to a crisis. On the other hand, 3.3% say everything is fine and 4.3% did not respond.
The Constitutional Court of Ecuador, although it declared, on March 21, the constitutionality of its renewal of the state of exception for 30 more days, counting from March 9, 2024, maintains that “(…) the facts presented by the president of the Republic in the documents sent to this Court they do not constitute the cause of internal armed conflict”. This is why this “does not affect the constitutionality of the renewal of the state of emergency”, due to “they are covered by the cause of serious internal commotion whose configuration has been verified in this case.”
The Government must work on two specific issues: security and the economy, but that this gives relief to the State and especially to the people.
According to Ipsos, a company that carries out market research, Only 40% of citizens rate the government’s management as good Ecuadorian in the situation of the internal armed conflict; 23% say very good and 29% say it is average.
Source: Radio Huancavilca