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2024-10-05 13:14:38
From North Carolina There isn’t much distance to heaven. In the small coastal town of Wilmington began to fly Michele Giordanowho made a name for himself as the best player in the college league Chapel hillbefore heading to the Chicago Bulls to settle eternally in the Olympus of basketball. A trajectory he has always tried to emulate Stephen Curryformed in the Wildcats of Davidsona small university town at the foot of Lake Normanno. It also felt very close to heaven Billy Grahamperhaps the most influential evangelical preacher of the 20th century, presidential whisperer, and favorite son of Carlottathe second most important banking center in USA And from above, obviously, came like a steamroller the most unpredictable element of the November 5 presidential elections in the state, the Hurricane Helenathe most devastating in its history.
Among tobacco plantations, the smell of barbecue and bluegrass emanating from the Blue Mountainsone of the fiercest battles is being fought to decide the next occupant of the White House. Donald Trump he won there in the last two elections, but as happens in others southern strongholds of the conservative tradition, Kamala Harris walks at his heels. The polls a month before the elections reflect a technical draw. Especially for the New Yorker it is a crucial state.
Electoral votes at stake
He will take the winner from North Carolina 16 electoral votes, the same ones running in Georgia. Del zipper states only that will decide the elections Pennsylvania has more weight to reach the 270 electoral votes that open the doors of the White House. Historical tradition is on the side of conservatives. Republicans have won every presidential election in the state since 1972, with only two exceptions: Jimmy Carter in 1976 and Barack Obama in 2008. But the margins have narrowed as college professionals across the country have moved into metropolitan rings of Asheville, Carlotta or Raleigh-Durham. Trump won in 2020 by just one percentage point, just over 74,000 votes.
Candidate strategy
Trump is the candidate who seems to give greater importance to the State. North Carolina is the only one of the seven pivotal states in this election that he won four years ago. According to the campaign expenseshis team is betting on reconfirming the victory there and adding Pennsylvania and Georgia, three states that would be enough to reach 270 electoral votes, provided they do not lose any of those won in 2020. advantage among independents and his growth among Latinos They seem to be your best asset.
Democratic options in the state have improved significantly since Harris replaced the president Joe Biden leading the nomination. His campaign seeks to emulate the Barack Obama’s strategy in 2008with volunteers and organizers in every corner of the state, dedicated to registering voters and spreading their candidates’ agenda door-to-door. The popularity of the Democratic governor Roy Cooper, that he expanded health care for low-income families in the state, works in his favor. But Harris will not have to reign only in the cities and among the black votebut reduce yours disadvantage in rural areaswhere 40% of the state’s population lives.
The unknowns of the hurricane
October 17th early in-person voting for the November 5 elections, but many counties in the state will have serious problems meeting the calendar. The massive destruction caused by the Hurricane Helene, that killed more than 200 people as it crossed the southeastern United States, left a dozen election offices in the northwest of the state, local authorities explained Tuesday. There are also fears that postal voting could be affected, given the poor state of the roads and the damage to several residential areas. “The destruction is unprecedented and this level of uncertainty so close to the election is truly disheartening,” he said recently. Karen Bell, the director of the state electoral commission.
Few dare to venture the impact Helene could have on the elections, but the track record is not very encouraging. In Florida’s 2018 legislative election, held shortly thereafter Hurricane Michael devastated parts of the state, attendance dropped by 10%, according to a study by the University of Chicago, which attributes everything to “the closure of polling stations and the greater distances that voters had to travel” to exercise their right to vote. In North Carolina the most affected areas are rural areas of the northwestmore inclined to vote Republican, but also include Democratic strongholds such as the city of Asheville.
The scandals of the Republican candidate for governor
The Republican campaign was peppered scandals and the extremism of some of its local characters. Mainly as deputy governor and candidate for leadership of the state, the African American Marco Robinson, to which Trump has repeatedly compared himself Martin Luther King. Two weeks ago, CNN revealed that Robinson is a regular user of a porn site where he interacts in its chats under the nickname ‘Nazi nigger’. In those chats defended slavery and made all sorts of “inflammatory” sexual comments, a position that clashes with the morality his speeches exude. Robinson has, for now, refused to resign.
It also gave a lot to talk about Michele Morrowthe Republican candidate superintendent of the state’s public schools. Morrow not only defends “homeschooling” in his platform, but has publicly called for Obama and Biden to be executed and claimed that the LGBTQ+ movement would be a cover for pedophilia. Both scandals worry the party, where many of its state officials are calling for them to resign.
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