- James Galleger
- Science & Health Journalist
Two more questions arise among the public regarding Omigran.
- How fast does Omigron spread?
- How much does it make you sick?
By understanding them, Omigron can understand the threat and challenge.
Researchers around the world are now beginning to answer those questions.
Immunity is very important. Omigron did not come to take us back to the beginning of the plague. But, Omigron is currently sowing a chaotic environment. It may take a few more weeks for definitive answers to become available about Omigron.
Omigron, how fast does it spread?
Omigron seems to be spreading very fast.
It also affects people who have been vaccinated or who have been immunized due to the previous big wave.
South Africa reached the end of its delta wave just a month ago. The severity of the infection was reduced to an average of 300 corona patients per day. But at present it is the same, increased to 10,000 per day. Omigron is the driving force behind the fourth wave.
The researchers monitored the extraordinary traces left in the Govt experiments for Omigran. This is called the S-gene dropout. Of the test results available late last November, only 0.1 percent were on the track. But, now it is more than 5 percent. It is estimated that it can cause infections in about 2,500 people a day.
In measuring the diffusion velocity of omigran, it is not possible to find its variance figures accurately. But, it helps to make a quick assessment without waiting for a complete genetic analysis of the toxin samples.
Those preliminary calculations suggest that Omigran exposure could double in the UK every three days, as the Omigran distribution is still uncertain.
It is faster than the Delta Tribe in the UK. This can be compared to the original corona toxin, which spread rapidly in the early 2020s when we had no immunity against the blight.
There may be a very short gap between being infected with a toxin and spreading it to another person. Due to the rapid growth potential, the small number will quickly multiply into a large one. As the number of patients doubles every three days, by the end of the month about 2,500 patients a day will have surpassed 10,000.
Will Omigron attack me too? Do you get sick?
The concern that researchers have had since first looking at the list of genetic mutations in Omigran is that it reduces the effectiveness of vaccines. They found that it was very different from the original corona toxin used to make the vaccines.
Preliminary data are now available on how our immunity can be sustained from testing using antibiotics. These stick to the surface of the corona toxin. It prevents the atoms from sticking to it.
Studies so far have shown that antibodies in the body of those who are vaccinated twice reduce the risk of infection by 20 to 40 times.
It is not easy to tell the extent to which the results of laboratory studies are practically possible. However, with less protective antibodies, Omigran became more prevalent and at risk.
It was at this time, that good news came. Experiments with the Pfizer-Bioentech vaccine have shown a dramatic increase in third-dose antibodies. Experimental results suggest that a third dose be administered against Omigran, just as the previous two doses did against the previous Govt toxin.
Professor Elinor Riley, of the University of Edinburgh, explains, “The data so far are promising.
There are no clear answers yet as to how severe the Omigron infection is.
But, even if a person has been vaccinated with two doses of the vaccine or has had an infection in the past, your immune system that fought it at the onset of the infection will still be in excellent condition.
Antibiotics are an important part of the body’s defense. Also, they seem to have suffered without a booster. But, beans are only one component of the vast, complex immune system.
After a person becomes infected, D-cells pay more attention to the toxin than to the antibodies. Therefore, they are easily avoided by new strains.
But to fully understand the severity of the disease caused by Omigran, it is necessary to monitor who is affected and who goes to the hospital.
What can happen with Omigron Trip?
There is potential for both the formation of the omigran wave and the fact that vaccines prevent the majority of people from becoming seriously ill.
The problem is that even though “most of us” are absolutely good, “not all” are good. Some of us are weak. Some people do not have a well-functioning immune system to be vaccinated. Some people cannot be vaccinated. Some have chosen not to be vaccinated.
We see this among people who need more hospital care for delta strain and Govt infection.
If a wave starts suddenly and at the same time, the situation will arise where all such people who need treatment will have to be taken care of at the same time.
“It all comes together,” says Michael Tildesley, a professor at the University of Warwick. “Therefore, there is a possibility of a big wave like the one in January. At some point it will lead to an increase in the number of hospital admissions.”
But he warns that there is still a great deal of uncertainty in all the data so far.
There is no globally accepted data on how fast Omigran spreads, how severe it is, or whether it avoids the action of the vaccine. So you will get a completely different view in the coming weeks depending on what data is being inserted in the math models.
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