Opposition parties adn civil society organizations in Guinea are set to launch protests in Conakry starting January 6, demanding the resignation of the ruling junta.the coalition, known as the Forces Vives de Guinée (FVG), has called on all Guineans, both civilians and military personnel, to unite in their fight for a civilian transition. The protests will initially take place in the Greater Conakry area and will expand to other prefectures.As the junta, led by General mamadi Doumbouya, approaches three years in power, the prospect of a return to constitutional order appears increasingly distant. The junta has faced accusations of suppressing the press and being responsible for the deaths of over 60 protesters, alongside the disappearance of two civil society leaders. Despite international pressure, the junta has indicated it will not meet its commitment to transfer power to a civilian government by the end of 2024, nor has it held the promised constitutional referendum.
Title: Protests in Guinea: An Interview wiht Political Expert Dr. Aminata Diallo
Time.news Editor (TNE): Dr. Diallo, thank you for joining us today. As Guinea is set to witness meaningful protests starting January 6, can you explain the motivations behind the Forces Vives de Guinée (FVG) coalition’s call for demonstrations?
Dr. Aminata Diallo (AD): The FVG coalition represents a broad spectrum of opposition parties and civil society organizations that are increasingly frustrated with the junta led by General Mamadi Doumbouya. Their primary motivation stems from a strong desire for a civilian transition and a return to constitutional order, which has seemed ever more distant under the current regime. Given that the junta has not fulfilled its promises to transfer power by the end of 2024, these protests are a manifestation of collective anger and demand for accountability.
TNE: The protests are initially planned for the Greater Conakry area and could expand. What implications do you foresee for the political landscape in Guinea?
AD: The immediate implications of these protests could be significant. If the demonstrations draw large crowds and maintain momentum, they could weaken the junta’s hold on power. This could lead to increased pressure for reforms or negotiations towards a transitional government. Though, the junta has shown a willingness to suppress dissent, as evidenced by previous violent crackdowns. The situation is tense and could escalate if the government responds harshly to peaceful protests.
TNE: You mentioned the junta’s history of violence and press suppression. How does the international community view this situation, and what role might it play moving forward?
AD: The international community has expressed concern regarding human rights abuses in Guinea, particularly the deaths of over 60 protesters and the disappearance of civil society leaders. There is a growing call for accountability, but the junta has largely ignored this pressure. Moving forward, international organizations could increase sanctions or provide support to the opposition. However, the effectiveness of such measures often depends on the junta’s willingness to engage.
TNE: What practical advice would you give to ordinary Guineans who wish to participate in these protests while ensuring their safety?
AD: Participation in protests always carries risks, especially in volatile environments like Guinea. I would advise individuals to stay informed about the situation, ensure they understand their rights, and be prepared for various responses from security forces.It’s also crucial to participate in organized groups, as this can provide a level of security and collective strength. Prior planning and communication through secure channels are key.
TNE: Many readers might wonder about the potential outcomes of these protests.What are the best and worst-case scenarios?
AD: In the best-case scenario, widespread peaceful protests lead the junta to negotiate a timeline for a return to civilian rule. This could open new pathways for political dialog and reform. Conversely, the worst-case scenario involves violent suppression of the protests, leading to further loss of life and an entrenched authoritarian regime. The outcome largely depends on the resilience of the protesters and the junta’s reactions.
TNE: Thank you,dr. Diallo, for your insights. As these events unfold,it’s crucial for the global community to pay attention and support efforts for a peaceful resolution.
AD: Thank you for having me. The situation in guinea is indeed critical, and awareness is the first step toward change.