Here we tell you the ruta of the Potential Tropical Cyclone 19 which threatens Mexico.
He National Weather Service (SMN) reported this Wednesday, November 13 about the formation of tropical cyclone 19 in the Atlantic Oceanspecifically about the Western Caribbean Sea.
He SMN He indicated that at the moment the meteor does not represent any danger to Mexico, but it could threaten to collide with Mexican territory according to the route drawn by the authorities.
In the next few hours, the potential Tropical Cyclone 19 could gain strength and become a depression or tropical storm, in which case it will be named “Sara”.
At the time, the SMN reports that the center of the meteor is located 610 kilometers (km) east of the Guanaja Islandin Honduras, and 845 km east-southeast of Puerto Costa Mayain the state of Quintana Roo.
owns winds sustained from 45 kilometers per hour (km/h) and se moving west at 15 km/h.
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Path of Potential Tropical Cyclone 19
According to a graph from the National Meteorological Service published in the ‘X’ account of the National Water Commission (Conagua Clima) at 9:00 p.m. on November 13, the meteor is located over the Western Caribbean Sea.
However, in the coming days it is predicted to gain strength and this is what its route would be like:
- Thursday, November 14: At 6:00 a.m. it could become tropical depression (Sara). At 6:00 p.m. it could evolve to tormenta tropicaland would be 556 km from Puerto Costa Maya, Quintana Roo.
- Friday, November 15: At 6:00 a.m. and 6:00 p.m. it would still be a tropical storm and would be 400 km from Puerto Costa Maya, Quintana Roo.
- Saturday November 16: The tropical storm could walk away slightly from Puerto Costa Maya, Quintana Roo, located 430 km.
- Sunday, November 17: At 6:00 p.m., it would remain a tropical storm and would be centered between the coasts of Honduras y Belice365 km from Puerto Costa Maya, Quintana Roo.
- Monday, November 18: At 6:00 p.m., would touch Mexican territory 30 km southwest of Chetumal, Quintana Rooas a tropical storm.
This is the SMN graph:
⚠️ Tonight, the #TropicalCyclone Potential Nineteen continues to move west over the Caribbean Sea. At the moment it does not represent a danger to #Mexico.
All details in the graphic ⬇️ pic.twitter.com/kn7ysiFA7T
— CONAGUA Climate (@conagua_clima) November 14, 2024
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The SMN urged the population of the area to take extreme precautions in the aforementioned places, given the possible presence of rain, wind and strong waves (including maritime navigation), in addition to following the recommendations issued by the authorities of the National Civil Protection System.
Related
What are the signs that Tropical Cyclone 19 is intensifying into a tropical storm?
Interview Transcript: Time.news Exclusive with Meteorological Expert Dr. Elena Ruiz
Time.news Editor: Good day, everyone. Today, we have the pleasure of speaking with Dr. Elena Ruiz, a leading meteorologist, who will shed light on the potential threat posed by Tropical Cyclone 19 to Mexico. Welcome, Dr. Ruiz!
Dr. Elena Ruiz: Thank you for having me! It’s great to be here to discuss such an important topic.
Time.news Editor: Let’s dive right in. The National Weather Service recently reported the formation of Tropical Cyclone 19 in the Western Caribbean Sea. What can you tell us about its current status and potential trajectory?
Dr. Elena Ruiz: As of now, Tropical Cyclone 19 is positioned approximately 610 kilometers east of Guanaja Island in Honduras and about 845 kilometers east-southeast of Puerto Costa Maya in Quintana Roo. The system is experiencing sustained winds of about 45 kilometers per hour and is moving west at 15 kilometers per hour. Initially, it poses no direct threat to Mexico, but as we track its behavior, we remain cautious.
Time.news Editor: It’s fascinating how rapidly these systems can change. You mentioned the system could strengthen into a tropical depression or even a tropical storm. What are the key indicators that would point to this intensification?
Dr. Elena Ruiz: Good question. The key indicators include sea surface temperatures, atmospheric pressure changes, and wind shear. Warm waters are essential for cyclones to gain strength. If the cyclone maintains its current path over warm waters without significant wind shear, it’s very likely that it will evolve into a tropical storm and be named “Sara” by November 14.
Time.news Editor: Forecasting the path of such phenomena can be quite complex. Do we have a projected path for Cyclone 19 over the coming days?
Dr. Elena Ruiz: Yes, projections indicate that by Thursday morning, it could transition into a tropical depression, and by later that day, it may become a tropical storm located about 556 kilometers from Puerto Costa Maya. As the weekend approaches, it might even shift slightly away but is still predicted to remain 365 kilometers from the coast by Sunday. The concerning part, however, is that it’s anticipated to make landfall on Monday, approximately 30 kilometers south of the coast.
Time.news Editor: That’s a critical warning for residents in those areas. What precautions should communities take as they prepare for the possibility of Cyclone Sara making landfall?
Dr. Elena Ruiz: It’s vital for communities to stay informed through official channels like the National Weather Service updates. They should prepare by securing loose items, ensuring they have emergency kits ready, and establishing communication plans in case of evacuation orders. Local authorities will also provide guidance on how to seek shelter if necessary.
Time.news Editor: That’s very sound advice, Dr. Ruiz. One last question—how likely is it that Cyclone Sara could result in significant impacts once it makes landfall?
Dr. Elena Ruiz: While we don’t want to create undue alarm, it’s essential to consider that even a tropical storm can bring heavy rains, strong winds, and potential flooding. The severity of the impacts will depend on its intensity at landfall and the specific areas it affects. Preparedness is key, and we encourage everyone to take these warnings seriously and act accordingly.
Time.news Editor: Thank you, Dr. Ruiz, for this insightful discussion. Your expertise helps shed light on what can often be a frightening topic for many. We hope everyone stays safe and prepared.
Dr. Elena Ruiz: Thank you for having me. Let’s all stay vigilant and informed.
Time.news Editor: That wraps up our interview. Stay tuned for further updates as we continue to monitor Tropical Cyclone 19’s trajectory. Stay safe, everyone!