The first estimates of the results of the first round of the presidential election have been known since 8 p.m.: the duo Emmanuel Macron – Marine Le Pen qualifies for the second round, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Éric Zemmour, Yannick Jadot and Valérie Pécresse are eliminated. It remained to be seen to what extent each population group had voted for this or that candidate.
A first Ipsos-Sopra Steria survey for Le Parisien, France Télévisions and Radio France, published this Sunday evening, provides initial lessons. It was conducted during the three days preceding the first round, on a sample of 4,000 people.
Mélenchon fills up with young people
More than 30% of those under 35 intended to vote for the candidate La France insoumise, who collected a total of around 21% of the vote. Conversely, the electorate aged at least 60 years mainly counted on Emmanuel Macron. Among those over 70, 41% were pro-Macron, but only 13% pro-Le Pen and 9% pro-Mélenchon.
Workers favor Le Pen
Marine Le Pen won nearly 24% of the votes among the electorate as a whole… but 35% of employees and workers, the two most “popular” types of professions, intended to vote for her. Conversely, the RN candidate struggled to convince retirees (17%), as did Jean-Luc Mélenchon (11%).
38% of retirees were planning to vote for Macron, which benefits from the fact that this category is also the one who shuns the ballot box the least.
The wealthiest vote Macron
The candidate president, who finished well ahead with nearly 29% of the vote, was favored by 35% of French people whose household earns more than 3000 euros net monthly. Conversely, only 14% of the poorest voters (less than 1250 euros per month within the household) intended to vote for him. The situation is completely opposite with Marine Le Pen (31% support in the poorest bracket and 19% in the wealthiest) and Jean-Luc Mélenchon (28% and 18% respectively).
Logically, Emmanuel Macron is also full of votes among voters who “manage to put a lot of money aside” (42% of them intended to vote for him). What, in the eyes of his opponents, reinforce the label of “president of the rich” that several of them attach to him.
Fairly loyal voters
Among the twelve candidates, seven (including Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Marine Le Pen and Emmanuel Macron) were already in the running five years ago. Each of them filled their electorate in 2017… but more or less strongly. Indeed, 66% of former voters of Jean-Luc Mélenchon, 74% of those of Emmanuel Macron and up to 79% of those of Marine Le Pen intended to vote again for the same person.
The RN candidate managed to avoid a major flight from her 2017 voters towards Éric Zemmour, since only 14% intended to choose the candidate Reconquest!.