Who will qualify for the second round of the presidential election? Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen, the two favorites, will they confirm the polling trends? Or will the surprise come from a Jean-Luc Mélenchon more attached than ever to his “effective” vote? “. At 8 p.m. this evening, the French will discover the faces of the last two contenders for the supreme office. You can find the results of the first round on this page.
The twelve candidates in the first round are Emmanuel Macron (En Marche!), Marine Le Pen (National Rally), Jean-Luc Mélenchon (Popular Union), Valérie Pécresse (Les Républicains), Éric Zemmour (Reconquest!), Yannick Jadot (Europe Écologie-les Verts), Fabien Roussel (French Communist Party), Anne Hidalgo (Socialist Party), Jean Lassalle (Resist!), Nathalie Arthaud (Workers’ Struggle), Philippe Poutou (New Anti-Capitalist Party) and Nicolas Dupont-Aignan (Stand Up France).
The scenario of a Macron – Le Pen revenge has long been imposed at the very beginning of the campaign. But the hypothesis of an automatic bis repetita ended up being threatened last October. The fault, in particular, of a certain Éric Zemmour, whose presidential ambitions were already almost beyond the shadow of a doubt. The RN candidate has long feared an electoral siphoning in order, as the polemicist turned into a blaster. He flirted with 18% voting intentions for a while, before finally going down.
The war in Ukraine blew up the countryside
Then it was the victory of Valérie Pécresse in the LR Congress which gave hope to the right, after having missed the boat in 2017 during an election given unlosable. At the beginning of the year, in reality, the campaign had not really started. The president remained president, too busy dealing with his foreign counterparts in what was set to become the most serious war on European soil since the end of World War II.
The Russian invasion of Ukraine further upset the voting rules. She put back on the table such major themes as purchasing power or fuel prices. The war has further delayed the candidacy of Emmanuel Macron. The outgoing president ended up declaring himself 38 days before the first round. 38 days during which the balance of power was profoundly changed.