There is nothing I can do to get past the miserable ways my NFL picks have been going this year. I tried to change things up a bit last week,and it got worse. I went 3-9-1 against the spread and 8-5 straight up. That brings my season ATS record to 90-114-4 and my straight-up record to 128-80.
I remember a month ago when I hoped to get my ATS record to .500. That ship looks like it has sailed. Heck,I’ll take a winning week right now.
As one of my co-workers said this week, “quit over-thinking it.” So that’s what I did this week. Here’s hoping it can turn things around.
It’s too late for much celebrating this year, but, please, I am begging for one winning ATS week. Just one? Please.
Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video)
This is an enormous division game for both teams. The loser is in big trouble. The 49ers showed their pride last week against the Bears, while the Rams are coming off a big victory over the Bills. On a short week, it’s always tough to go out on the road. The 49ers will be ready for this one. They take it behind a good showing from Brock Purdy.
Pick: 49ers 28, Rams 23
Bonus: SportsLine expert Micah Roberts, who is on a 26-6 roll betting San francisco 49ers games, disagrees with Prisco on the total of this game, but what about the spread? Check out who Roberts is backing over at SportsLine.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo try for free)
The Panthers are favored here as they’ve played well the past few weeks. Bryce young is getting better. The question for Dallas is how focused it will be after that tough home loss to the Bengals. I think the Cowboys will be, and I think Micah Parsons and the defense will play well.
Pick: Cowboys 20, Panthers 17
sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The chiefs are playing for the top seed, while the Browns are playing for their vacation plans. That matters. The Chiefs haven’t looked great all season, but they find ways to win games. They will find a way here as Jameis Winston turns it over a few times for point-blank scores. Chiefs win another close one.
Pick: Chiefs 21, Browns 19
pick: Dolphins 31, Texans 27
Bonus: The SportsLine Projection Model, which is up more than $7,000 on NFL picks as its inception, is fading Prisco and taking the Texans to cover against the Dolphins as part of a five-team parlay. Check out the other four legs by heading over to SportsLine.
This is the dog game of the day, but the Jaguars are coming off a victory, while the Jets lost at Miami in overtime. At least the Jets showed up in that one. The offense looked decent. I think that will carry over as Aaron Rodgers and the Jets beat Mac Jones and the Jaguars.
Pick: Jets 24, Jaguars 17
The Commanders come off a bye, while the Saints are coming off a victory over the Giants. But they will be likely be without injured quarterback Derek Carr in this one. That’s tough to overcome.they won’t be able to against a good Commanders team as Jayden Daniels is healthier after the bye. Commanders take it.
Pick: Commanders 30, Saints 17
The Ravens are coming off a bye, while the Giants are playing out the string. The Giants don’t do a lot on offense, which is a problem against the Ravens. Lamar Jackson and his offensive group will score a bunch here against a depleted Giants defense. Ravens big.
Pick: Ravens 34, Giants 14
The Bengals are coming off a road victory Monday night at Dallas where they played better on defense. We know Joe Burrow and the offense will score here. Can the Titans keep up? No. They scored six points last week against a bad Jacksonville defense.They will score more here, but not enough to beat Burrow and gang.
Pick: Bengals 30, Titans 17
The Patriots are off a bye to play a team that has lost three straight. Kyler Murray hasn’t played well the past three weeks, but that will change here. The Arizona offense will get back on track as it gets a victory that will keep it in the playoff chase.
Pick: Cardinals 28, Patriots 20
This is an enormous game in terms of the playoffs. Both teams are coming off a bye, so no edge there. The Broncos have the better defense, which will be the difference in this one. Look for them to turn over Anthony Richardson as Bo Nix and the Denver offense plays the cleaner game. Broncos win it.
Pick: Broncos 22, Colts 16
This is the game of the week, featuring two high-scoring offenses and two MVP candidates in Josh allen and Jared Goff at quarterback. Both defenses have issues, which should make this a shootout. The Bills are playing consecutive road games,which isn’t easy,but I think they will find a way to pull off a small upset behind Allen.
pick: Bills 37,Lions 35
This is a long trip for the Bucs against a good team coming off a loss. I think Jim Harbaugh will have his group back focused here. Baker Mayfield is facing a tough Chargers defense. The Chargers will get the best of that matchup as they get back on the winning track.
Pick: Chargers 27, Bucs 21
The battle of Pennsylvania is between two physical teams that get after it on both sides of the ball. The steelers don’t run it as well as Saquon Barkley and the Eagles, which will be the difference in this one. Look for Barkley to lead the Eagles as the Philadelphia defense limits Russell Wilson.
Pick: Eagles 24, Steelers 17
The packers are coming off a Thursday night loss on the road against the Lions, while the Seahawks are home after winning two straight road games. The Seattle defense has really played well as of late, but this is a tough offense to defend. Green Bay’s Jordan Love will get the best of that defense. Packers take it.
Pick: Packers 28, Seahawks 24
Bonus: SportsLine expert R.J. White, who is on a 74-31-2 roll in games involving Green Bay, is leaning under in this pivotal NFC showdown on “Sunday Night Football.” He’s more confident in one side covering the spread, and you can see who he’s picking at SportsLine.
Monday, 8 p.m. ET (ABC, fubo try for free)
They didn’t play well. Minnesota is rolling. Sam Darnold is playing at a high level, which I think will continue here. The Vikings will throw a ton of looks at Caleb Williams,which will lead to turnovers. It’s ugly.
Pick: Vikings 33, Bears 17
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN, fubo try for free)
There is some uncertainty about Raiders quarterback Aidan O’Connell’s health here with a bone bruise. As for the Falcons, Kirk cousins has been bad the past month and this will be a tough spot to bounce back in for him – no matter who plays quarterback for the Raiders. I think the Las Vegas defense will win this for the Raiders.
Pick: Raiders 21, Falcons 20
– What strategies can NFL betting experts use to improve their betting records?
interview Between Time.news Editor and NFL Betting Expert
Time.news Editor: Welcome! Today, I’m joined by a seasoned NFL betting expert to delve into the ups and downs of sports betting and get insights for the upcoming games. Thanks for being hear!
Expert: Thanks for having me! Excited to break down some games and share thoughts.
Editor: Let’s jump right in. you’ve been tracking NFL picks closely this season. It’s safe to say it hasn’t been smooth sailing. How do you feel about your current record?
Expert: Oh, it’s definitely been a rough patch. I recently went 3-9-1 against the spread in one week. My season record is now 90-114-4 against the spread, which isn’t great.I really hoped to get that record up to.500,but at this point,I’m just hoping for one winning week!
Editor: that’s a tough spot to be in! what do you think is contributing to these challenges?
Expert: Honestly,I’ve been overthinking my picks a lot.one of my co-workers even told me to “quit over-thinking it.” Sometimes,simplifying my approach can lead to better outcomes. This week, I’m trying to just trust my gut and go with what I feel.
Editor: Great strategy! Let’s talk about a specific game – we have the 49ers vs. Rams coming up. What’s your take?
Expert: This game is crucial for both teams. The 49ers just had a strong showing against the Bears, and they’ll be ready for the Rams after a short week of preparation. I’m picking the 49ers to win 28-23. Brock Purdy has the potential to lead them to victory.
Editor: Engaging! The Rams are coming off a big win too, so it feels quite competitive. any other games notably catch your eye this week?
Expert: Absolutely, I’m looking at the Cowboys against the Panthers. The Cowboys need to refocus after that tough loss to the Bengals. I believe Micah Parsons and the Cowboys defense will rise to the occasion and lead them to a narrow victory, with a predicted score of 20-17.
Editor: What about the Chiefs vs. Browns game? It seems there are some stakes for both teams.
Expert: Yes,that’s right. The Chiefs are still in the race for top seed, while the Browns are just trying to salvage their season. I think the Chiefs’ experience will prevail despite not having their best season so far. I’m predicting a close game, with the Chiefs winning 21-19.
Editor: Did you notice any underdogs that might surprise us this week?
Expert: Definitely! The Texans could possibly cover against the Dolphins, as they seem to be gaining momentum. The SportsLine Projection Model is backing them to cover as part of a five-team parlay. It’s all about spotting those opportunities.
Editor: Sounds like a wise pick! Before we wrap up, could you give our readers a quick tip for making wise betting decisions?
Expert: Sure! Always do your research and stay updated on player conditions, statistics, and team performance trends. Don’t let emotions guide your picks—trust the numbers and your analysis. And remember, sometimes it’s better to walk away from a bet if you’re feeling uncertain.
Editor: Fantastic advice! Thank you for sharing your insights with us today. Hopefully, your predictions pan out for the better this week!
Expert: Thank you! It was a pleasure discussing NFL betting, and I’m looking forward to an exciting week of games ahead.