2024-06-03 20:04:18
Sachweh Consultants: Calm down solely in the direction of the center of the week
BR climate professional Michael Sachweh stated in an interview with BR24: “We had a little bit of a respite from the rain on Sunday. Now we’ve a brand new low extending over southern Bavaria. And it might probably’t transfer away – due to an easterly move .” If the winds got here from the north, says Sachweh, “then the foothills rapidly turned again to the Alps.” It would rain a number of occasions throughout the day – “hours longer.”
The extra quantities of rain “add as much as the flood, in order that the flood state of affairs won’t ease on Monday, however solely on Tuesday or Wednesday. However that additionally is determined by the catchment space we’re speaking about.”
The flood of the century could be very actual proper now
In keeping with Sachweh, the concentrate on flooding is “directed increasingly in the direction of the Danube”. Rest can already be seen on the higher Danube in the direction of Günzburg: “The water ranges are falling there, and even the rain this Monday will be unable to cease this fall.” Nevertheless, the water nonetheless rises downstream from the Danube. “And the rain additionally ensures that the utmost worth in Donauwörth, for instance, will solely be reached throughout the night time or on Tuesday.” If this occurs, then, in line with the climate professional, reached values which can be exceeded statistically as soon as each 100 years – “HQ100”, as it’s known as, the flood of the century.
Primarily answerable for rain lots: What’s a “Vb climate situation”?
However how did this even come about? The “Vb climate situation” (“5-B”) is principally answerable for the rain lots. “A low is shifting from the Atlantic over the south of France into the Mediterranean Sea, the place it fills up with a whole lot of water vapor that the Mediterranean affords, after which it continues over the Japanese Alps in the direction of Poland. And our flooding took the low immediately this path, ” explains Michael Sachweh – and continues: “This railway is so liable to flooding as a result of there’s a whole lot of water vapor within the air and since this melancholy strikes very slowly. This implies could the rain last more.”
On the finish of this climate state of affairs, the wind turns to the north, which, in line with Sachweh, causes site visitors jams within the Alps and the rain continues, particularly in southern Bavaria: “Climate state of affairs Vb means rendezvous of a number of flood-prene . components and due to this fact the flood climate state of affairs is taken into account to be par excellence for south central Europe and the Alpine area.”
How lengthy is it prone to rain
The low is at the moment reversing. “Because of the easterly present, this foothill over southern Bavaria can not but say goodbye to the Alps so it continues to rain within the south,” stated the climate professional. “Northerly winds proceed within the night and night time, then some extra rain falls as a result of Alpine site visitors jam within the fast neighborhood of the Alps – this will even feed the final of the Danube floods. From Tuesday onwards, nevertheless, the all clear that may be given from a meteorological standpoint.”
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