2023-07-17 18:27:10
The latest opinion polls allowed by Spanish law ahead of general elections on July 23 showed the conservative Popular Party (PP) well ahead of the ruling Socialists on Monday, but needing the support of far-right Vox to govern.
According to the main Spanish polling institutes, which are barred from publishing surveys as of Tuesday, the PP would win 131 to 151 seats in the 350-member Chamber of Deputies, falling short of an absolute majority of 176.
While some polls show Vox would win enough seats to secure a joint majority on the right, the average of all polls released on Monday by pollsters GAD3, 40db, IMOP, Sigma 2 and Simple Logica shows they would still come out short. a majority seat, with Vox gaining 36 seats.
The Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE), of Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez, would obtain 98 to 115 seats, according to polls whose projections point to an average of 108 seats.
A hypothetical alliance between the PP and Vox could see PP leader Alberto Nuñez Feijóo become prime minister, but much will depend on who occupies third place in various provinces and how many parliamentarians elect some regional parties, which they have supported. Sánchez’s minority coalition for the past four years.
Vox is side by side with Sumar, a new alliance of far-left groups that includes Podemos, the ruling coalition’s junior partner. Sumar would win 25 to 39 seats, polls show.
In many constituencies, third place is crucial, as fourth place often fails to elect parliamentarians.
Sánchez, who still hopes to have enough support in parliament to form a government, canceled part of his Brussels agenda on Monday to attend a campaign rally in the northeastern city of Huesca, where the PSOE is struggling to get an extra seat.
Feijóo has been enigmatic about whether he would strike a post-election alliance with Vox, although the two parties came together in several regions and municipalities after local elections on May 28 in which the governing coalition was defeated.
A national PP-Vox alliance would give the far right a role in government for the first time since the current constitution was passed in 1978 after four decades of dictatorship under Francisco Franco.
By Inti Landauro and Andrei Khalip
#edge #majority #Spains #general #election #polls #show