Rising Diabetes Rates: Study Predicts 1.3 Billion Cases by 2050

by time news

2023-06-23 16:15:25

A recent study revealed that the number of adults with diabetes around the world will reach more than 1.3 billion people by 2050, which is double the number recorded in 2021, which is about 529 million.

It is noteworthy that the United Nations expects that the world’s population will reach about 9.8 billion people by 2050, which means that one in every 8 people will have diabetes.

The researchers said, according to Reuters, that the majority of cases have type 2 diabetes, which is the type associated with obesity and can be largely prevented.

The pattern of increase in infection rate is not the same worldwide. For example, prevalence rates are projected to reach 16.8 percent in North Africa and the Middle East and 11.3 percent in Latin America and the Caribbean by 2050, compared to 9.8 percent globally.

The study was published in The Lancet medical journal on Thursday, and was funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

A study predicts that 1.3 billion people will develop diabetes over the next 3 decades

A new global study warns of an increase in the incidence of diabetes in the world during the next 30 years if appropriate measures are not taken.

What is diabetes?

Diabetes is a chronic disease that affects a person when the pancreas is unable to produce an adequate amount of insulin, or when the body is unable to use the insulin – which it produces – effectively. This leads to an increased concentration of glucose in the blood (hyperglycaemia), according to the World Health Organization.

Type 1 diabetes occurs with a lack of insulin, and was previously known as insulin-dependent diabetes or childhood-onset diabetes.

As for type 2 diabetes, it was previously called non-insulin-dependent diabetes or adult-onset diabetes, in which the body’s use of insulin is ineffective, and often results from excessive body weight and physical inactivity.

There is also gestational diabetes, which is hyperglycemia in which the levels in the blood are higher than the normal level but do not reach the level necessary to diagnose diabetes, and this pattern occurs during pregnancy.

Women with gestational diabetes are more likely to experience complications during pregnancy and at birth. These women are more likely to develop type 2 diabetes in the future and possibly their children.

Gestational diabetes is diagnosed by prenatal scans, not by reported symptoms.

Symptoms of the disease may appear suddenly, and in type 2 diabetes, symptoms may be mild and may take many years before they are noticed.

Among the symptoms, according to the World Health Organization, are feeling very thirsty, increasing the need to urinate more than usual, blurred vision, feeling tired, and unintentionally losing weight.

People with diabetes are more likely to have health problems, including heart attack, stroke, and kidney failure.

Diabetes can cause permanent vision loss due to damage to the blood vessels in the eyes.

Many people with diabetes develop problems with their feet due to nerve damage and poor blood flow. This may cause ulcers in the foot and may lead to amputation.

Changing lifestyles is the best way to prevent or delay type 2 diabetes.

This can be achieved by achieving and maintaining a healthy body weight, staying physically active by engaging in moderate activity for at least 30 minutes a day, eating a healthy diet while limiting sugar and saturated fats, and not smoking.

The World Health Organization warns of high blood pressure, diabetes and obesity

The World Health Organization announces that one out of every 10 people worldwide suffers from diabetes, which exposes people to heart disease and kidney failure.

Terrifying numbers

The official website of the World Health Organization revealed that in 2014, people with diabetes represented 8.5% of all adults in the age group of 18 years and over.

In 2019, diabetes was the direct cause of 1.6 million deaths, of which 48% occurred before the age of 70.

Kidney disease caused by diabetes killed an additional 460,000 people, and high blood glucose accounted for about 20% of deaths from cardiovascular disease.

Between 2000 and 2019, age-standardized diabetes death rates increased by 3%, and diabetes deaths in lower-middle-income countries increased by 13%.

According to the WHO Regional Office for the Eastern Mediterranean, diabetes is widespread in both sexes in the Member States of the Region, and its prevalence in these countries ranges from 3.5% to 30%.

He also indicated that six of the ten countries with the highest prevalence of diabetes in the world belong to the Region, namely Bahrain, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Saudi Arabia and the UAE.

The office also stated that by 2025, the number of people with diabetes is expected to double in the WHO African, Eastern Mediterranean and Southeast Asian regions.

He also noted that many countries in the Region are now reporting more and more young people with type 2 diabetes, due to increasingly sedentary lifestyles, obesity, and an increase in high blood pressure and cardiovascular disease.

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