Title: Experts Warn of Summer Surge in Covid-19 Cases, but Urgency Remains Moderate
Subtitle: CNN medical analyst Dr. Leana Wen provides insights on the potential increase in infections, preventive measures, and the impact on schools.
Recent data from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has indicated that a summer surge of Covid-19 cases could be underway, albeit not as drastic as in previous summers. The number of coronavirus infections, test positivity, emergency department visits, and hospital admissions have all seen an upward trend, sparking concerns among health experts. CNN Medical Analyst Dr. Leana Wen, a renowned emergency physician and professor, sheds light on the reasons behind the increase, precautions individuals should take, and the potential impact on schools.
Dr. Wen suggests that the current surge in cases may be part of a cyclical pattern evident throughout the four summers of the pandemic. This cyclicality may involve alternating periods of increased cases followed by relatively quiet intervals. Furthermore, the hot weather during summer encourages indoor gatherings, which could contribute to higher infection rates. Increases in infections during holidays when people come together in enclosed spaces may also be explained by this phenomenon. Notably, the current surge is not driven by the emergence of a new variant, as all existing variants are offshoots of the Omicron strain.
The urgency for concern varies depending on individuals’ medical and personal circumstances. Generally healthy individuals who have received vaccinations or have already had Covid-19 are at a lower risk of severe illness. While some people prioritize avoiding infections entirely, many others have chosen to resume pre-pandemic activities with the knowledge that they are protected from severe illness. However, individuals vulnerable to severe outcomes, such as the elderly or those with underlying medical conditions, should ensure they are up to date on their Covid-19 boosters and discuss additional precautions with their healthcare providers.
Dr. Wen clarifies that a return to masking for everyone may not be necessary at this time. While top-down mask mandates are reserved for emergencies, individuals at high risk of infection can protect themselves by wearing high-quality masks. This approach allows individuals to reduce their risk of contracting the virus even if others around them are unmasked.
Regarding summer plans and travel, people should consider modifying rather than canceling their arrangements. Those at high risk should wear masks during flights and prioritize outdoor settings for dining and get-togethers. Travelers should also be prepared with at-home Covid-19 tests, know where to access treatments if necessary, and have a plan for hospitalization, if required.
The timing of Covid-19 booster shots depends on individual circumstances. Most individuals can wait until the fall when a new booster targeting dominant strains will be available. However, those at high risk who have not yet received their bivalent booster should consult their healthcare providers about getting the current booster sooner and the updated booster later.
Dr. Wen asserts that the summer wave of cases should not disrupt the return to schools significantly. While hospitalizations suggest a surge, other metrics, such as wastewater virus levels, indicate that the wave may be leveling off. Additionally, this summer’s increase is less severe than previous surges. Therefore, it is advisable to prioritize safeguarding high-risk individuals while minimizing disruption to society, including schools.
As the US navigates through the fourth summer of the pandemic, it is crucial to stay informed, take appropriate preventive measures, and remain adaptable to changing circumstances.