The German tripartite postpones sine die the vote on the 2024 budget after the Constitutional setback

by time news

2023-11-22 18:35:49

Updated Wednesday, November 22, 2023 – 17:35

Scholz associates debate the unconstitutionality of reallocating 60 billion pandemic funds to climate measures

El canciller alemn Olaf Scholz.FILIP SINGEREFE

The problems of the Chancellor’s Government Olaf Scholz to carry out the 2024 budgets are getting worse. The Budget Committee of the Bundestag has canceled with 24 hours notice the vote on the Government’s project for next year’s federal budget and the budget financing law that accompanies it. A new date has not yet been set. The background is the decision of the Federal Constitutional Court on the 2021 supplementary budget, which was declared null, thereby triggering a long chain of doubts about the constitutionality of subsequent budgets. In fact, the 2023 budgets are unconstitutional and the plans for 2024 are “extremely concerning.”

The main reason is the violation of the annuity principle: debts must be recognized in the year in which they are incurred and not in the year in which credit authorizations are transferred from the budget to a special fund. This happened with the Climate and Transactions Fund (KTF) created in 2021 with the 60,000 million euros in credits contracted at the time to combat the effects of the coronavirus pandemic. The Economic Stabilization Fund (FEE) is also seen affected. It was filled with credit authorizations worth 200,000 million euros in 2022. The Government intends to do so, among other things, to stop the rise in electricity prices. However, the real debt was not subscribed in the capital market until 2023. Therefore, according to the new rules of the Constitutional Court, the debt does not have to be recognized in 2022, but in 2023. The point is that the 2023 federal budget already foresee about 45,000 million euros of debt, as much as the debt brake allows, including the economic component). Now that the debt must also be recognized in 2023, the debt brake has been violated and, therefore, the budget is unconstitutional. The opinion of the jurists summoned to the Bundestag this Tuesday to analyze the situation created by the ruling is unanimous in agreement on this.

Faced with the cloud that has formed, the budgetary policy spokesmen of the parliamentary groups of the coalition, Dennis Rohde of the Social Democratic Party ((SPD), Sven-Christian Kindler of the Greens, and Otto Fricke, of the liberals of the FDP, They announced this Wednesday in a joint statement the cancellation of the vote. They want to respond “carefully” to the “great challenge” posed by the ruling and “prepare a budget that takes into account all its arguments.” They also wanted to give the opposition “enough time for parliamentary deliberations before some selections are finally debated in the Budget Committee.”

In reality, the Commission had wanted to vote on the draft budget for 2024 and the Budget Financing Law this week and submit it to parliamentary approval on December 1. The mountain of questions now open cannot, however, be resolved overnight, although for the Greens and the SPD the unconstitutionality of the 2023 budgets could be corrected with a declaration of emergency that would justify an exception to the debt brake and the 2024 with some editorial changes.

An emergency situation in the sense of the Basic Law was the coronavirus pandemic and the energy crisis caused by the Russian war in Ukraine, but, in a nutshell, it could also fit the resulting economic crisis and which may well last longer than the event that triggered it. It is not so easy, because each action has its consequences. A problem for the Executive is that if a more lasting crisis is alleged, the Bundestag would have to resort to “repeated annually declarations” of the emergency situation or, in other words, the Government would only be able to finance short-term measures with “helicopter money”, but not long-term ones. “That will not create stability of expectations for investors,” he maintains. Michael Htherof the German Economic Institute, to warn that, if policy proceeds in that direction “we face a persistent investment crisis.”

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