If there is one certainty concerning the legislative elections of June 12 and 19, it is that 2022 will not be like 2017. For the rest, in this surprisingly sluggish and tentative campaign, it is difficult to play the game of predictions: he amplitude of the ranges used by the polling institutes in their projections in seats testifies to this. The ballot does not take place under the same conditions as five years ago.
First element of comparison: the number of candidates. In 2017, a historic record was reached with 7,882 registered candidates, an average of fourteen per constituency. This year, “only” 6,293 candidates will run for the votes of voters, i.e. nearly eleven per constituency, with a maximum of twenty-two in the 9e constituency of French people living outside France. The number of candidates has thus practically returned to the level of 2012 (6,158).
The main reason for this drop is due to the agreement reached within the New Popular Ecological and Social Union (Nupes) between the four major leftist formations and their allies, sparing them the dispersion of candidacies which, in 2017, had strongly disabilities. La Nupes will thus present, excluding Corsica and overseas, 522 unique candidates, but its leader, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, is not standing. While the presidential majority, grouped under the label Together!, has invested 539, to which are added those it supports in overseas communities. The three main right-wing parties total, as part of a distribution agreement, 553 candidates: 450 Republicans, 75 Union of Democrats and Independents, 28 Centrists.
Only one triangular in 2017
On the other hand, it jostles on the far right. The National Rally has invested 567 candidates – Marine Le Pen will again be a candidate in the 11e constituency of Pas-de-Calais. And reconquest! in present 551 – Eric Zemmour will present himself in the 4e of the Var. Added to this are 205 candidates invested by Les Patriotes, including Florian Philippot in the 6e de la Moselle, and 173 by Debout la France, with Nicolas Dupont-Aignan in the 8e of Essonne.
Among the other formations ensuring a significant presence, Lutte Ouvrière stands out with its 549 invested candidates, including Nathalie Arthaud in the 6e of Seine-Saint-Denis. We should also note the 357 candidates from the Animalist Party, the 95 from the Pirate Party and the 56 from Résistons!, the party of Jean Lassalle, which is not running in the 4e constituency of Pyrénées-Atlantiques, but passes the baton to his brother Julien.
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