The number of people who died from or with Corona in Germany has exceeded the threshold of 100,000. This is evident from the numbers from Thursday morning, which reflect the status of the dashboard of the Robert Koch Institute (RKI) at 3:47 a.m. Accordingly, the health authorities recently reported 351 deaths to the RKI within 24 hours, the total number since the start of the pandemic is now 100,119.
According to the RKI, most of the corona deaths occurred last winter with more than 1,000 reported cases per day. At the moment the death rate is much lower, although there are significantly more infections. On Thursday, the seven-day incidence peaked at 419.7. The number of new corona infections transmitted within one day exceeded the threshold of 70,000 for the first time. According to the RKI, the health authorities reported 75,961 cases in 24 hours. The fact that fewer infected people are now dying is also due to the fact that large parts of the population are vaccinated – especially among older people, who are more prone to severe disease.
Reinhard Busse from the Technical University of Berlin recently said that the proportion of those infected who are being treated in intensive care has fallen from six percent in the first wave to 0.8 percent. According to Stefan Kluge, Director of the Clinic for Intensive Care Medicine at the University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, the mortality rate among patients who receive intensive care treatment is 30 to 50 percent.
In order to keep the number of corona deaths permanently low, significantly more people in Germany would have to be vaccinated. If there is no progress, Germany will have to prepare for at least 100,000 more corona deaths “before the fairway calms down,” said the Berlin virologist Christian Drosten recently. “That’s a conservative estimate.” He derives the number by comparing it with Great Britain.
According to the RKI, the statistics include deaths for which laboratory-confirmed corona evidence is available and who have died in relation to this infection. Accordingly, both people who died directly from the disease and those infected with previous illnesses for whom the cause of death cannot be conclusively determined are recorded.
Compared to some other industrialized nations, Germany is still doing comparatively well, as data from the Johns Hopkins University (JHU) in Baltimore shows. There are significantly more deaths per 100,000 inhabitants in France, Spain, Great Britain and Italy. The USA has almost twice as many corona deaths per 100,000 inhabitants as Germany, and Bulgaria is more than three times as many. In contrast, there are less than half as many corona deaths per 100,000 inhabitants in Denmark as in Germany. However, it should be noted that the figures only allow comparisons to a limited extent due to the different reporting systems.
What about the total number of deaths in Germany? From mid-October 2020, according to the Federal Statistical Office, the difference in the number of deaths increased compared to the mean value in previous years – in parallel with the increasing number of laboratory-confirmed Covid-19 cases. In December, the number of deaths was 32 percent above the average for previous years. In early 2021, they slowly went back.
From September the number of deaths rose again. In the first half of November 2021, the number of deaths was extrapolated to be 16 to 17 percent above the average. “The reported Covid 19 deaths only partially explain this development,” but the statisticians limit. Basically, the number of deaths fluctuates strongly, for example strong flu waves or heat waves in summer can have a significant impact on events.
According to statistics from the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research in Rostock, around 20,000 people died in the last week of October this year, around 3,000 more than the average between 2010 and 2019. In the last week of December 2020, the difference was even around 8,000. MPI researcher Dmitri Jdanov put the total number of people recorded in excess mortality in 2020 compared to the years 2010 to 2019 at 77,000. For comparison: the RKI stated the number of corona deaths at around 33,000 at the end of 2020.