Tomorrow, the Israeli national team will begin another attempt to reach the big goal: for the first time in 54 years, they will finally want to appear in a major tournament. Tomorrow (Saturday, 20:00, live broadcast on 5SPORT) they will host the Kosovo national team in Bloomfield, as part of the first round of Euro 2024 qualifiers. So what are the chances of Alon Hazan and his players getting there?
This is where the “Grace Knott” company comes into the picture, which specializes in statistical analyzes in football – and it analyzed the chances of qualifying from the “Israeli house”, which is house 9.
According to their probabilistic analysis – Israel has a 49.9% chance of qualifying for the Euro 2024 games. How will it get there? According to “Grace Knott”, its chance of finishing first is only 8.4%, and the chance of finishing second is 25.9% – Yahava puts most of her credit on the possibility of Israel reaching the playoffs, because of the first place it finished in the League of Nations. Her chance of getting there through the next stage is 65.8%. Quite a few.
The one who should finish first, naturally, is the Swiss team – which gives “Grace Knot” a 90.4% chance to qualify directly, and no less than 93.1% to reach the tournament in some way. Israel, by the way, is second in the picture of chances after the Swiss; They are followed by Romania (42.4%), Kosovo (21.4%), Belarus (11.7%) and Andorra with only a 0.5% chance.
– EURO 2024 qualification chances – Group I
>90% chance
Switzerland (ranked 16th in the world)40 – 50% chance
Israel (70th)
Romania (64th)Our World Football Ranking:https://t.co/LwFRwQ9Ltx #EURO2024 pic.twitter.com/B71GSjdNrY
— Gracenote Live (@GracenoteLive) March 24, 2023