2023-08-14 11:14:27
The result is a blow to the Government and also to Together for Change. With 92 percent of the tables counted, Javier Miley, the great surprise of these PASO, obtained 30.28% of the votes and relegated its competitors. Behind the libertarian, Sergio Massa was the candidate with the most votes with 21.30%, although in the sum of political forces he could not go beyond third place, adding 5.78% of his contender in the internal Union for the Fatherland, Juan Grabois. , in what represents the worst historical election of Peronism. While, in the fight within JvC, Patricia Bullrich took a comfortable advantage over Horacio Rodríguez Larreta: 17.01% to 11.24%.
Among the big losers this Sunday are the polls. None of them could have foreseen the surprising performance of Milei, who in the previous numbers appeared stagnant while the complaints for the alleged sale of places on her lists grew. Analysts speculate that she could have benefited from the “black swan” episodes of insecurity that occurred in the days leading up to the election, beginning with the crime of Morena Domínguez, the girl murdered by motorcycles in Lanús. in the bunker Freedom Advances, pure euphoria, the reading was another. “There is a vote that we always had but that the pollsters, who work for the system, do not record,” analyzed an influential libertarian operator. The sensation candidate celebrated with a repeated phrase: “We will put an end to Kirchnerism and to the parasitic and stupid political caste.”
In JvC the elections left a bittersweet taste. Not even adding the votes of their two pre-candidates could they overcome Milei. After months of hard confrontation, Bullrich and Larreta They arrived at the PASO with gestures of relaxation and waited for the results in the same bunker. But the winner of the internal one did not deprive herself of criticizing her rival in the previous one for the damages demonstrated by the electronic vote in Buenos Aires territory. Her victory, with the public support of Mauricio Macri, consolidates the trend of extreme voting. Just as Milei won with her anti-political speech, she prevailed in the internal discussion between “hawks” and “doves”. larretawho for four years had been profiling himself as the presidential candidate with the best chances, in the final stretch he did not manage to stand up against an opponent who, with a more vehement and austere campaign, left him with nothing.
Before the first official counts, the former Minister of Security reported, upon arriving at the Parque Norte bunker, that the head of the Buenos Aires Government had raised his hand: “Horacio called me and congratulated me”. The challenge now is for the mayor’s votes to flow smoothly to Bullrich for the October election.
In the Government, the result had an impact. Massa had arrived on Sunday with the expectation of being the candidate with the most votes. But the insecurity factor and the rise of the blue dollar above 600 pesos in recent days complicated the outlook for the Minister of Economy. One of his big concerns was how the markets would react the following Monday in the event of a bad election by the ruling party. The fact that the Tigrense has come second as a candidate at the individual level, something that their spokespersons highlighted with satisfaction imposed at the close of the election, is not enough to banish those ghosts. Even in his small town, the municipality of Tigre, his wife Malena Galmarini – who was going for the mayor’s office – was surpassed by her competitor Julio Zamora.
They did not go to the bunker of the minister-candidate by Cristina Kirchner and Alberto Fernandez. The defeat is all yours. Looking ahead, the idea is to confront Milei, whom the government recognizes as the new head of the opposition.
In the province of Buenos Aires, the governor Axel Kicillof He won without problems with 36.79% of the votes and hopes to repeat the victory in October to ensure that bastion for Christianity, especially if the opposition, in either of its two variants, comes to power. Behind CFK’s favorite were the candidates for Milei and JxC. The Juntos intern won it Nestor Grindetti -Bullrich’s chosen one-, who surpassed Larreta’s candidate, Diego Santilli: 16.35% against 15.92%. Carolina Píparothe candidate for La Libertad Avanza, surpassed them both individually with 24.01%.
Meanwhile, in the City of Buenos Aires, Jorge Macri, the former president’s cousin, won in an internal match against the radical Martin Lousteau, who had the wink of Larreta. The victory was by 28.71% against 27.1%, relegating to third place the Peronist Leandro Santoro, who obtained 22.17%. Ramiro Marra, from La Libertad Avanza, was fourth with 12.95. The victory of cousin Jorge, who made the leap from Vicente Lopez’s mayor to the Capital, is another bean that the most famous Macri scored in the deaf fight he had with Larreta since he began to discuss leadership within space. The former president could not be a candidate, but he ended up having an influence anyway. Close to Bullrich they maintain that she was even approached by financiers for her campaign.
In the rest of the country, the wave Milei also swept. It prevailed in Córdoba, Santa Fe, Tucumán, Jujuy, Mendoza, Salta, La Rioja, San Juan, San Luis, Misiones, La Pampa, Neuquén, Río Negro, Chubut, Tierra del Fuego and even Santa Cruz, the Kirchnerite homeland.
Finally, it is necessary to underline a statistic that restless 40 years after having recovered democracy: only 68.7 percent of the voters voted, the lowest number that has been registered in a presidential primary since the PASO was established in 2011. It is true that in the 2021 primaries participation was even one point lower, but it was a legislative election and there were still restrictions due to the pandemic. It is in this context of apathy and rejection of politics that the forceful irruption of an anti-system candidate like Milei should be read.
The first photo from August 13 leaves him in a situation that seems unbeatable, while Bullrich and Massa seek to close the gap ahead of the generals on October 22. They only have ten weeks.
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