There were 56 candidates at the general election in Tokyo, and the incumbent Yuriko Koike was elected for the third time. Which local governments where Mr. Koike, Mr. Shinji Ishimaru, and Mr. Renho received the most support in this election? We’ve summarized the results of the vote count, NHK’s exit poll, and the reasons for winning and losing.
Local governments received the most support from all candidates
Let’s look at each local government to see where each candidate received the most support in this election in Tokyo.
▼ Mr Koike received more votes than other candidates in the 62 local governments. Especially in the island and western Tama regions, there were many places with vote percentages in the 50% to 60% range, and among the 23 wards, Adachi, Edogawa and Katsushika wards had vote percentages above 45%.
On the other hand, Shibuya Ward, Meguro Ward, and Musashino City had a low percentage of votes.
▼ Mr. Ishimaru’s vote rate was particularly high in Setagaya Ward, Shibuya Ward, Chuo Ward, Shinagawa Ward, Meguro Ward, and Minato Ward, with over 27%.
▼Mr. Renho received more than 20% of the votes in Musashino City, Kunitachi City, Tama City, Koganei City, Suginami Ward, Mitaka City, Kokubunji City, and other cities.
Mr. Koike: The reason is the victory
In this election, one of the main issues was to evaluate Governor Koike’s management of the city government over two eight-year terms. In an NHK exit poll, when asked about their evaluation of the management of the Tokyo Metropolitan Government, 67% of respondents said they rated it “strongly” and “somewhat”, while 33% answered “not at all”. Seriously”. it” and “don’t consider it at all.” are much higher.
During the election campaign, Governor Koike highlighted achievements such as ▼5,000 yen per month for those under 18 and ▼nearly free high school tuition, as well as calling for future countermeasures against the declining birth rate and natural disasters.
It can be said that many voters have a positive view of Governor Koike, who has been running the government of Tokyo in a relatively stable manner.
In addition, Governor Koike received voluntary support from the Liberal Democratic Party (Liberal Democratic Party) with about 60% of support, Komeito (Komeito) over 80%, and Tokyo Citizens First (Tokyo Citizens First Association) more than 90%. from more than 30% of so-called independents, a group not supported by any political party.
In addition, when looking at the age group, he received the most support among people in their 40s and above in all age groups. He consistently received support from a wide range of people and separated Mr. Ishimaru and Mr. Renho.
Mr. Ishimaru: It was the reason for the defeat
Mr. Ishimaru is actively working with volunteers to spread awareness among young people through social media and live streaming, saying, “If someone who does not belong to a current political party becomes the governor of Tokyo, the world completely.’ ‘
The group also traveled around Tokyo and gave several street speeches in an effort to improve their recognition.
As a result, according to an NHK exit poll, Mr. Ishimaru received the support of more than 30% of so-called independent voters. He surpassed Mr. Renho and was almost on par with Mr. Koike.
However, Ms Koike received the support of around 60% of the Liberal Democratic Party’s support base, which received voluntary support, and more than 80% of the Komeito party’s support base.
By age group, Mr. Ishimaru received the most support among people up to his 30s, but he received less support than Mr. Koike in all age groups among people in his 40s and above.
One of the reasons for the victory seems to be that the appeal did not reach a wide range of people.
It is the reason for Mr. Renho’s victory
During the election campaign, Mr. Renho advocated “Koike’s municipal government reset”” and “Anti-Liberal Democratic Party politics,” emphasizing his position to pursue Governor Koike, who is supported independent from the Liberal Democratic Party.
However, according to NHK’s exit poll, 75% of people said they did not support Kishida’s cabinet, while only about 20% said they voted for Renho.
In addition, Koike left the Constitutional Democratic Party and ran as a candidate in the hope of gaining a wide range of support, appealing for measures to support young people, but exit polls showed that support from so-called independents remained at around 20%. .
One of the reasons for the victory seems to be that the appeal did not reach a wide range of people.
NHK exit poll
NHK conducted an exit poll on the 7th to investigate voters’ voting behavior and political awareness. The survey was conducted among 5,646 voters who finished voting at 64 polling stations in Tokyo, and responses were received from 3,522 people, or 62.4%. On the other hand, about 19% of voters had already voted early by the 6th, but these people are not included in the survey results.
Voting results
Voter turnout was 60.62%, 5.62 points higher than the previous election four years ago, and the second highest since the Heisei era.