Biden administration establishes approximately 20 channels
There is an analysis that the dialogue channels established with China under the Joe Biden administration will disappear when U.S. President-elect Donald Trump returns to the White House in January.
On the 28th (local time), the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported this, saying, “It is unclear whether the second Trump administration will maintain the existing communication channels between the United States and China.”
WSJ assessed, “President-elect Trump and President Biden both take a hard line against China, but have quite different strategies when it comes to dealing with China.”
He pointed out, “Before President-elect Trump began his first term in 2017, there were more than 90 official communication channels between the two countries, but by the time he finished his term, virtually all of them had disappeared.”
The Biden administration has resumed dialogue with China in recent years and established about 20 high-level channels covering a variety of topics, including the economy, finance, security, and climate change.
Senior U.S. Treasury officials have met with their Chinese counterparts almost once every two months over the past year and a half, and the economic working group of the two countries held its seventh meeting last December.
Diplomatic experts in the United States and China predict that the Trump administration will not maintain these channels established by the Biden administration.
Ian Bremer, chairman of the Eurasia Group and an expert in U.S. geopolitics, argued, “It is difficult to imagine that strategic and economic dialogue will continue under the current circumstances.”
According to WSJ, Chinese officials repeatedly attempted to contact President-elect Trump’s associates ahead of his return to the White House, but failed.
According to the WSJ, with virtually no informal channels of communication with the Trump team, Chinese leaders are trying to figure out whether the second Trump administration will try to use tariffs as a tool to negotiate a trade deal with China or to further decouple the U.S. economy from China. .
Additionally, the WSJ analyzed that Chinese officials prefer to follow established diplomatic protocols to minimize political risks to their leadership and do not try to deviate from existing ways of thinking or practices when dealing with the United States.
Meanwhile, a well-informed source said, “Rather than going through official diplomatic channels, the Trump team conveyed to President Xi’s chief of staff, Secretary of the Central Secretariat and Director of the Central Office, Tsai Chi, that they would like to communicate directly with President Xi’s key staff.” revealed.
However, the WSJ assessed, “This proposal is in contrast to going through official diplomatic channels and is significantly different from existing methods, so the Chinese government is not ready to accept it.”
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