2024/11/12 16:56 Weather News
Typhoon No. 25 will move west for a while and then change course to the north, so people in Okinawa should be careful.
» Latest typhoon information
Typhoon No. 25 north near the Philippines
Center east of the Philippines
Move northwest 30 km/h
Central pressure 990 hPa
Maximum wind speed 25 m/s (near centre)
Maximum instantaneous wind speed 35 m/s
Typhoon No. 1 is expected to continue. 25 continues to grow and move west, and will become a strong force around the 14th (Thursday) as it approaches Luzon Island in the Philippines. After that, he changed his course to the north, and there was a chance that he would reach Okinawa by the weekend.
However, the forecast circle is much larger on the 17th (Sunday) than up to the 16th (Saturday), indicating uncertainty in the path.
Reference Numerical simulation results of the course calculated by meteorological agencies around the world
In comparison, after reaching the northeastern Luzon Island in the Philippines, predictions are divided into two: one course to move westward through the South China Sea, and the other course to move eastward near Okinawa. Furthermore, although it is difficult to
Please pay attention to future information as movements around Taiwan and Okinawa may be complicated.
The following are the prefectural forecast areas where the probability of entering the typhoon storm region within the next 5 days is 3% or higher. (Japan Meteorological Agency)
Okinawa main island region
North and south center of main island 5%
Kerama/Aguni Islands 8%
Kumejima 11%
Miyakojima Region 32%
Yaeyama region
Ishigaki Island area 45%
Yonagunijima Region 47%
Typhoon No. 24 west and will develop from around the 14th (Thursday). It is expected to become a very strong force from the 16th (Saturday) to the 17th (Sunday) as it approaches the Philippines. When it reaches the vicinity of Luzon Island in the Philippines, there is great uncertainty about its course, so we need to keep an eye on its course.
Typhoon No. 23 made landfall in the Philippines, dumping heavy rain, and is now moving towards the South China Sea. It is expected to continue moving westward as it weakens and turns into a tropical cyclone near Hainan Island.
▼Tropical cyclone November 12 (Tuesday) 15:00
Vietnam location center
Move southwest slowly
Central pressure 1004 hPa
Typhoon No. 22 became a tropical cyclone at 3:00 pm
Although the number of typhoons making landfall and making landfall decreases after November, there are records of typhoons making landfall on Honshu at the end of November, so we cannot let our guard down yet.
» Radar satellite cloud image mode
China proposed the name “Yinxing” for Typhoon No. 22 and is derived from the name of a tree (gingko).
Hong Kong proposed the name “Man-yi” for Typhoon No. 24 and was taken from the name of the strait which is now a reservoir.
Japan proposed the name “Usagi” for Typhoon No. 25 and is derived from the constellation Rabbit.
» Mode typhoon radar
Interview: Understanding Recent Typhoon Activity with Meteorologist Dr. Anna Tanaka
Time.news Editor: Welcome, Dr. Tanaka! Thank you for joining us today to discuss the recent developments concerning Typhoon No. 25 and the other tropical systems affecting the region.
Dr. Anna Tanaka: Thank you for having me! It’s a critical time for weather patterns, and I’m glad to share insights on these storms.
Editor: To start, can you give us a brief overview of Typhoon No. 25’s current status and projected path?
Dr. Tanaka: Absolutely. As of November 12th, Typhoon No. 25, which has been named Usagi, is located east of the Philippines. It is currently moving northwest at around 30 kilometers per hour, with a central pressure of 990 hPa. Its maximum wind speed near the center is 25 m/s, which equates to impressive winds of about 90 km/h.
Editor: It sounds powerful! How are forecasters predicting its movement, and what uncertainties do they face?
Dr. Tanaka: Great question. Meteorologists use ensemble forecasting techniques, which involve running multiple simulations with slightly varied initial conditions to anticipate a storm’s path. The predictions for Usagi show two main potential paths after it reaches Luzon Island—one is a westward trajectory through the South China Sea, while the other suggests a northeast course toward Okinawa. The larger forecast circle by the 17th indicates a higher degree of uncertainty, underscoring the challenges we face in predicting such storms.
Editor: So, given this uncertainty, what should residents in Okinawa and nearby regions be aware of right now?
Dr. Tanaka: Residents should remain vigilant. The forecast indicates that there’s a significant chance of Typhoon No. 25 impacting Okinawa by the weekend, with probabilities from 32% in the Miyakojima region to as high as 47% for Yonagunijima. Keeping up with regular updates from the Japan Meteorological Agency is essential, as conditions can change rapidly.
Editor: In the context of Typhoon No. 25, we’ve also seen Typhoons 23 and 24 affect the Philippines. Can you highlight how they differ from Usagi?
Dr. Tanaka: Certainly! Typhoon 23 has already made landfall in the Philippines, causing significant rainfall before moving into the South China Sea, where it is expected to weaken into a tropical cyclone. On the other hand, Typhoon 24 is forecasted to strengthen further before also approaching Luzon around the 14th. The situation is dynamic, and residents in the Philippines are facing their own set of challenges due to these concurrent storms.
Editor: It seems like a particularly busy season for tropical cyclones. How do you see climate change influencing typhoon activity in the coming years?
Dr. Tanaka: Current research suggests that climate change is likely intensifying storm activity and increasing rainfall amounts, which can lead to more severe flooding events during typhoons. Warmer sea surface temperatures provide more energy for storms, potentially leading to stronger systems. As the climate continues to change, we may see greater variability in storm tracks and intensities, emphasizing the need for improved forecasting and preparedness.
Editor: Those are critical insights. What advice would you give to individuals living in typhoon-prone areas to stay safe?
Dr. Tanaka: Preparation is key. Residents should have an emergency kit ready, including water, food, flashlights, and medical supplies. Stay informed through reliable weather channels and apps, and have an evacuation plan in place if necessary. It’s important to act quickly and not wait until the last minute when the storm is imminent.
Editor: Thank you, Dr. Tanaka, for your expert analysis and useful advice. We truly appreciate your time and knowledge during this hectic weather season.
Dr. Tanaka: Thank you for having me! Stay safe and informed out there.
Editor: Absolutely. We’ll continue to monitor the situation and provide updates as they become available.