UI Economist Explains Reasons Why Jokowi Effect and Social Assistance Influenced Prabowo-Gibran’s Victory – 2024-04-10 00:34:27

by times news cr

2024-04-10 00:34:27

The Indonesian presidential and vice presidential candidate pair elected in the 2024 presidential election is Prabowo Subianto – Gibran Rakabuming Raka. Photo: Archive jpnn.com/Ricardo

jpnn.comJAKARTA – Economist from the University of Indonesia (UI) Vid Adrison emphasized that without the effect of President Joko Widodo (Jokowi) and social assistance (bansos) candidate pair number 02 Prabowo-Gibran won 42.38% in the 2024 presidential election.

Meanwhile, based on the vote count determined by the General Election Commission (KPU) on March 20, the number of votes for candidate pair number 02 was 96,214,691 votes or 58.59%.

Vid conducted research to see whether there was a casual relationship between the distribution of social assistance ahead of the 2024 presidential election and Jokowi’s effect on Prabowo-Gibran’s vote share. As is known, Gibran is Jokowi’s son.

The vote acquisition of 42.38% was almost the same as the results of a survey conducted by Charta Politika in the period 4-11 January 2024, namely 42.2%.

This is related to myopic behavior in society, in this case voters consider (remember) the actions taken by Jokowi ahead of the 2024 presidential election compared to government activities or programs carried out two or four years ago.

“There is myopic behavior in society.

People think more, consider what is closer to happening. “For example, in the last month someone did something good, so what I remember is kindness,” said Vid, quoted from Abraham Samad’s YouTube channel “Speak Up,” Monday (8/4/2024).

He said that the social assistance, which is part of the Social Protection (Perlinsos) program, was indeed a government program whose budget had been approved by the DPR, but the social assistance was actually distributed massively by the Jokowi government ahead of the voting on February 14 2024.

Jokowi’s visits to the regions were effective in increasing Prabowo’s votes in the 2024 presidential election.

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