2023-08-23 07:05:00
The vote reached by Daniel Noboa constitutes something that was unexpected for analysts and pollsters. A surprise. The unexpected. How much did the cruel murder of Fernando Villavicencio affect this result? Correísmo installed the story of a victory in the first round. The triumphalism was such that Mr. Corrrea had the luxury of warning that his “personal revenge would be forceful.” Ultimatum similar to the one he pronounced in 2021 with Mr. Arauz, he led Lasso by 14 points, to finish, losing in the second round. How much did the debate and the post-debate weigh on the networks? Who tuned in more with the youth?
Noboa, 35 years old, can be considered an outsider. His only foray into politics is to be an assemblyman for two years. He acted soberly, without prominence or demagogy. But let’s not forget: since his adolescence, he has lived directly through the political dynamics of his father, a five-time presidential candidate and three-time finalist. Daniel Noboa has repaired himself in universities of academic hierarchy in the United States. With a liberal background, he values the market and competition, without denying the regulatory and subsidiary role of the State. Of democratic convictions opposed to the despotism that we already experience.
There is a generational political relay. Between Daniel Noboa and Rafael Correa there is a quarter of a century of difference. A different vision of politics. He is not radical or quarrelsome, less resentful. He does not understand politics as a wild fight, nor as a shortcut to easy enrichment.
It is obvious that no two campaigns are the same. It’s known. Now Yaku Pérez and Javier Hervas have just verified it firsthand.
Mrs. González’s vote is the same as two years ago. In spite of the
fierce opposition to Lasso and claim that everything was perfect, even the Pacific refinery. The votes of Correísmo are its ceiling and consequently, the possibility of adding votes is greatly reduced. It is evident that Noboa is closer to being president, as Mrs.’s defeat is so close. The figures are clear. As long as Noboa does not make mistakes or break the discipline, the message and the strategy, he will be able to score and win. Mrs. González will be subject to repeating the creed of her mentor and idol, and forced to make Arauz remain silent. Less more that there is less for the decline of the caudillo.
#Unexpected #Trade