2024-02-21 13:03:28
The European Parliament will be re-elected in just under four months. In a survey, the AfD is twice as strong as it was in the 2019 election. There are two losers among the traffic light parties.
According to a survey, the AfD could double its 2019 election results if there were European elections on Sunday. In a survey published by the polling institute Insa on behalf of “t-online” for the European elections in Germany, the party achieved 22 percent. In the 2019 election, the party was still at 11 percent, putting it in fourth place.
Only the CDU/CSU is ahead of the AfD with 27 percent, around four months before the European elections. The Union would therefore lose 1.9 percentage points compared to the previous election. According to the survey, the biggest losers would be the Greens, who would slip to 10.5 percent. In 2019 they came to 20.5 percent – this would almost halve their result.
The SPD is currently at about the same level as in the previous European elections. In the survey she got 16 percent, in 2019 she got 15.8 percent. The FDP loses 2.4 percentage points and falls to 3 percent. According to the survey, the Left got 4.5 percent (-1).
The Alliance Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW), which wants to run for the first time, received 5.5 percent in the survey. The other parties together are at 11.5 percent.
Mandates for less than three percent are also possible
The European elections will take place from June 6th to 9th, in Germany the vote will take place on June 9th. This time there is no barrier clause in this country: the Federal Constitutional Court initially overturned a five percent hurdle in 2011, and later also a three percent hurdle. An electoral law reform from 2022 stipulates that a threshold clause will be reintroduced in future elections in large member states such as Germany.
For what is said to be a representative survey, the survey institute surveyed 2,101 eligible voters online. Election surveys are generally always subject to uncertainty. Among other things, weakening party ties and increasingly short-term voting decisions make it more difficult for opinion research institutes to weight the data collected. In principle, surveys only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and are not predictions of the election outcome.