San Francisco, December 25, 2025 – The Golden State Warriors will host the Dallas Mavericks in a marquee matchup on the NBA’s Christmas Day schedule, with Golden State favored by 8.5 points.
Warriors and Mavericks Clash on Christmas
Both teams are looking to make a statement as they navigate the Western Conference standings.
- Dallas enters the game with a record of 12-19, currently 11th in the Western Conference.
- Golden State is 15-15, holding the eighth seed in the West.
- Kyrie Irving remains sidelined for the Mavericks due to a knee injury.
- the SportsLine Projection Model predicts the total score will stay Under 229.5 points.
Tipoff from the Chase Center is scheduled for 5 p.m. ET. The Warriors currently have a money line of -341, meaning a $341 bet woudl win $100. The Mavericks are at +271, offering a potential $271 return on a $100 wager.
What’s the Prediction on the Total Score?
The model has a strong recent record, going 30-14 on its top-rated NBA spread picks dating back to last season, and has generated over $10,000 in profit for $100 bettors. It has also identified an against-the-spread pick that is projected to hit in nearly 60% of simulations.
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Warriors vs. Mavericks spread: |
Warriors -8.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook |
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Warriors vs. Mavericks over/under: |
229.5 points |
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Warriors vs. Mavericks money line: |
Warriors -341, Mavericks +271 |
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Warriors vs. Mavericks picks: |
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Warriors vs. Mavericks streaming: |
Fubo (Try for free) |
For fans looking to place a bet,new users can take advantage of promotional offers. DraftKings is offering $200 in bonus bets with a $5+ bet win, while bet365 is providing $150 in bonus bets after a $5 wager.
The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving (knee), while Klay Thompson (probable, knee) and PJ Washington (questionable, foot) are day-to-day for the Warriors.
