2024-06-17 17:27:59
Creator: Elchin Alioglu
Supply: Pattern
Armenia demonstrates that it’s pursuing a coverage inclined to the West and that it’s attempting to develop its diplomacy alongside the route directed in the direction of the USA, France and the European Union. What are the outcomes of Yerevan’s techniques?
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan visited three villages on the conditional state border with Azerbaijan at this time.
He introduced the keys of 13 homes in-built Shurnukhu village to native residents.
Later, N. Pashinyan, sticking to his function, talked concerning the variations between “actual and fictional Armenia”, stated that Archbishop Bagrat (Vazgen Galstanyan) is definitely a puppet of the Armenian Church, former presidents Robert Kocharyan and Serzh Sargsyan, in addition to the Armenian diaspora, and at last gave ice cream to the kids. and distributed sweets.
The secretary of the parliamentary faction of the ruling “Civil Settlement” social gathering in Armenia, Artur Hovhannisyans, said at this time that they won’t take part within the extraordinary session of the nation’s supreme legislative physique.
“The agenda of the opposition is faux and doesn’t meet the state pursuits of Armenia in any respect. The extraordinary session of the Parliament can’t happen with out our participation. Sure, will probably be referred to as in accordance with the regulation, nevertheless it is not going to happen because of the lack of quorum,” A. Hovvanisyan stated.
“Civil Settlement” stood by its phrase and boycotted at this time’s session of the parliament.
Archbishop Bagrat, or priest whose actual identify is Vazgen Galstanyan, who heads the momentary coalition of the Armenian Church, former presidents Robert Kocharyan and Serzh Sargsyan, the leaders of the Armenian group within the US-France-Russia trio and small opposition teams in Armenia, headed by the previous presidents Robert Kocharyan and Serzh Sargsyan says that he sees himself within the publish of prime minister. Nevertheless, the true purpose of those that put him ahead is to carry Robert Kocharyan to energy.
Nikol Pashinyan is aware of this and, in reality, doesn’t think about Reverend Bagrat to be his rival.
His near-term targets are the forces behind Bagrat.
Ara Abramyan, the chairman of the Union of Armenians of Russia (REI), the biggest diaspora group of the Armenian group in Russia, overtly supported priest Bagrat and thus challenged N. Pashinyan.
Though the authorities in Yerevan at all times resent the impolite intervention of diaspora organizations and Armenian communities in numerous nations within the inner political wrestle, this time the response of the institution can be harder.
An instruction was given to reduce A. Abramyan’s affect, and preliminary steps are already being taken in that course.
Nikol Pashinyan’s essential purpose is to place an finish to the political intrigues of the Armenian Church, and he’ll use all his administrative assets with out exception to subvert the plans of Catholicos II Garegin geared toward overthrowing the present authorities.
As for the duo of Robert Kocharyan and Serzh Sargsyan, their probabilities of returning to energy are zero. Within the ongoing protests in Armenia, “Pashinyan – resign!” regardless of his calls for, the whole majority of these screaming Armenians think about Robert Kocheryan a corrupt, mendacity, grasping and depraved particular person.
Usually, Serzh Sargsyans is a political corpse by way of the opportunity of claims for the publish of prime minister.
Official Yerevan cites making certain the nation’s safety as the explanation for its technique of weakening the opposition and pursuing pro-Western insurance policies.
Nevertheless, after the demarcation and delimitation of Azerbaijan’s conditional state border with Armenia, the signing of the ultimate peace settlement, the restoration of communications and the commissioning of recent logistics routes, Pashinyan’s declare will lose its logical foundation. At the least as a result of the profitable completion of the listed processes will contain the institution of regular interstate relations between Azerbaijan and Armenia.
Moreover, there isn’t any actual risk to Armenia within the South Caucasus area. Azerbaijan doesn’t intend to start out a brand new struggle in opposition to Armenians. Iran always declares that it’s the guarantor of Yerevan’s safety. Regardless of the safety guarantees of the USA, France and the European Union, Russia doesn’t play the function of the bearer of the thought of taking harsh punitive measures in opposition to Armenia. Georgia doesn’t pose any potential risk to Armenia. As for Turkey, Yerevan was fascinating for Ankara solely by way of Azerbaijan-Armenia points.
On this case, the tendency of Nikol Pashinyan and his group to implement the technique of most rapprochement with NATO and the European Union by leaving the Collective Safety Treaty Group (CSTO) of the CIS nations has an illogical impact.
If there are not any geopolitical, political and army dangers for Armenia within the area, if even partial normalization of relations with Azerbaijan situations the steady lifetime of Armenians, then the present international coverage of the Pashinyan authorities is, to place it mildly, removed from the mental floor.
Regardless of the continual strengthening and intensification of the sturdy anti-Russian rhetoric of the Armenian management, the political elites in Yerevan additionally admit that the nation’s financial system may be very depending on Russia throughout the CIS and is even utterly depending on Russia in most areas. Beneath the present circumstances, it’s nearly unimaginable for Yerevan to reduce contacts with Moscow and overtly flip to the West. If the financial system just isn’t collapsing on the expense of Russia, if all the pieces from pure gasoline and gasoline to meals is purchased from Russia at low cost costs, then the choice to march in the direction of the West and depart indignant Russia behind has an absurd impact.
Nikol Pashinyan and his group nonetheless can’t inform Armenians what particular advantages the rapprochement with the West, particularly with France and the European Union, brings concrete advantages to the nation.
It is exhausting as a result of these advantages do not actually exist.
Lets say that Armenia first leaves the CSTO, then the Eurasian Financial Union and the Eurasian Customs Union, loses the chance to purchase items and merchandise from Russia at very low costs, and as a substitute beneficial properties the standing of a candidate nation for membership within the European Union.
What is going to Yerevan lose and what’s going to it achieve?
To promote Armenia’s merchandise, i.e. to export, from the markets, pure gasoline, oil, fuel-lubricants, uranium, and many others., which it imports at low costs. will endure, relations with the nations of the area can be strained, he should look ahead to Russia’s response.
As an alternative, it’ll present its armed forces with outdated weapons and army tools removed from fashionable necessities, which it’ll obtain from the USA, France and the European Union, it’ll start to switch its military to NATO requirements, and it’ll obtain concessional loans and grants from the West.
That is all.
Because it appears, Armenia’s losses can be many occasions better than the illusory beneficial properties it might probably get, and Nikol Pashinyan will face probably the most severe dangers since 2018, when he took over the publish of prime minister.
As is understood, the political elites and the authorities in Yerevan would not have the abilities to deal with these challenges.
It isn’t recognized what Pashinyan will do when confronted with exterior dangers, counting on the shortage of kinetic vitality of the opposition’s protests and the weak point of the social base.
The authorities in Yerevan ought to at the very least give it some thought.