Will Hezbollah become a ‘bloodbath’? Israel is not repeating the mistake of 42 years ago.

by times news cr

2024-10-02 18:59:01
New Delhi: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced that the assassination of Hassan Nasrallah, the leader of the terrorist group Hezbollah in Lebanon, would prove to be a major step towards changing the balance of power in the region for years to come. Israel launched several major attacks one after the other on the Iran-backed terrorist group in Lebanon. First detonating pagers and walkie talkies, then launching a major airstrike on southern Beirut, killing senior commander Ibrahim Akil. Three days later, Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah was also killed in a massive bombing. In these attacks, many buildings were razed to the ground and almost the entire leadership of Hezbollah was destroyed. Israel may be considering this as its victory or its 3H plan may be behind it, but it can also prove to be a heavy burden on it. Israel should not forget that it was because of its similar steps that Hezbollah was born. Know the whole story from experts.

What happened in 1982, when Israel took this step?

It was June 1982, when Israel invaded Lebanon with the aim of crushing the Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO). Then Israel thought that it would form a Christian dominated government in Lebanon, which would support it. Apart from this, Syrian forces can also be driven out from there. Israel had failed in all these three objectives.
Clouds of war loom due to the death of Hassan Nasrallah… What options do Hezbollah, Israel and Iran have now?

PLO was once forced to leave the country

Palestinian armed groups in Lebanon were forced to leave the country under a US-brokered deal. At that time the PLO was sent into exile in Tunisia, Yemen and other places. However, just five years later the first Palestinian intifada or rebellion broke out in Gaza and spread to the West Bank. Today Palestinians are steadfast in their cause. He could not tolerate Israeli occupation at any cost. From the graphic below, we understand who is left in Israel’s leadership after its recent attacks.

Second Israeli offensive, Operation Peace for Galilee

The 1982 Lebanon War is also known as the second Israeli invasion of Lebanon. It began on June 6, 1982, when Israel invaded southern Lebanon. The invasion resulted in fierce fighting between the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) and Israeli forces operating in southern Lebanon, in which civilians were killed on both sides of the border. The code name of the Israeli military operation was Operation Peace for Galilee.
Hassan Nasrallah Killed: Hassan Nasrallah was killed in an Israeli attack, Israeli army confirmed, a big blow to Lebanon’s Hezbollah.

Attempt to assassinate Israeli ambassador cited as reason

Terrorists from the terrorist organization (Fatah) like Abu Nidal had attempted to assassinate Israeli Ambassador to Britain, Shlomo Argov, after which the then Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin blamed the PLO. He cited this as the reason behind the Israeli attack in Lebanon.

The one whom Israel brought to power was murdered

When the Israeli government expelled the PLO, it formed a pro-Israel Christian government under the leadership of President Bashir Gemayel. The Israeli government had hoped to sign a treaty that would give Israel ’40 years of peace’. However, in the meantime, Gamel was assassinated in September 1982 and the peace treaty was shelved.

Then finally Hezbollah was born

Due to this war a large number of Israeli people were killed. The Israeli public became disillusioned. The Israeli Defense Forces ended their operations in Lebanon on September 29, 1982. Israeli forces occupied the southern Lebanon Security Area from February to April 1985, giving rise to the Iran-backed militia group Hezbollah. It waged a guerrilla war against the Israeli occupation until the final withdrawal of the IDF from Lebanon in 2000.

Hezbollah’s guerrilla tactics hurt Israel

It is believed that the most important result of the Israeli invasion of 1982 was that such a canker was born in the form of Hezbollah, which waged a continuous guerrilla war against Israel. This forced Israel to unilaterally withdraw from South Lebanon. This was the first time that any Arab military forces forced Israel to retreat. With the help of Iran from Arab soil, this new group proved to be more lethal and effective than those Palestinian militants. Till 2005, Iran helped Hezbollah a lot in this fight.

Can America also join this war

Hezbollah has said it will continue its fight against Israel. He has decided that he will continue to fight for the protection of Gaza, Palestine and Lebanon. Both Hezbollah and Iran know that if they launch missile attacks on Israeli cities, there will be two immediate consequences – Israel will retaliate against Iran and the US may also get involved in this conflict, whose warships armed with cruise missiles are stationed off the coast. Are. There is also a possibility that Iran-backed militia groups from Iraq, Syria and Yemen may also join this entire conflict. Some experts are even calling this the beginning of the Third World War.

Shock to Hezbollah like Hamas, what will it do?

Ismail Haniya’s death was a big blow to Hamas. Nasrallah’s killing is an even bigger blow to Hezbollah. Haniya was killed in Tehran, while Nasrallah was buried in Lebanon. Hassan Nasrallah, one of Hezbollah’s founders, had led the group for several decades. This has greatly hurt Hezbollah’s leadership and confidence. Hezbollah has already vowed to continue the fight. It still has thousands of fighters, many of whom have recent experience fighting in Syria, seeking revenge.

Shock for Iran too, why Hezbollah is its proxy

Nasrallah’s killing is also a big blow for Iran because Hezbollah was its proxy. In the last 50 years, Iran had formed the ‘Axis of Resistance’ by combining the anti-Israel groups present in this area. Hezbollah is Iran’s proxy because it can create a powerful alliance against Israel in the Middle East. Can crack down on him.

Understand what Israel wants

Israel’s plan is to attack 3H i.e. Hamas, Hezbollah and Houthi so continuously that all three are brought to their knees. Hezbollah’s back has been broken due to the swift action of Israeli Defense Forces. Now the plan is to force Hezbollah so much that the group stops carrying out attacks against Israel. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu himself believes that these attacks will take away power from Hezbollah’s hands and will completely weaken it. Netanyahu wants Hezbollah to stop firing rockets into Israel. However, this very desire of Israel can make Hezbollah look like a bloodbath. Many more terrorist organizations like it may take birth in a new form like Raktabeej.

What will be Iran’s stance after these attacks?

Nasrallah’s death is also a big blow for Iran. It has hidden its Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei somewhere due to fear of Israeli attack. Iran has not yet been able to take revenge for the humiliating murder of Hamas political leader Ismail Haniya in a guest house in Tehran in July. Now after the assassination of Nasrallah, Iran might be considering a new strategy.

Iran can attack Shia fighters in Yemen, Syria and Iraq

Iran has an entire organization of heavily armed fighters from its allies in the Middle East, reportedly called the ‘Axis of Resistance’. Apart from Hezbollah, there are Houthis in Yemen and many Shia organizations in Syria and Iraq, whom Iran can ask to attack Israeli and American targets. However, he will think a hundred times about it, because the reaction will be extremely strong.

Will America not make an agreement like Camp David?

On September 17, 1978, the Camp David Accords were signed by then Egyptian President Anwar Sadat and Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin. The two agreements were signed at the White House in the presence of US President Jimmy Carter after 12 days of secret talks at Camp David in Maryland. These agreements paved the way for the 1979 Egypt–Israel Peace Treaty between Egypt and Israel. Because of these agreements, Sadat and Begin jointly received the Nobel Peace Prize in 1978. However, America’s recent stance does not indicate any scope for agreement.

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