Yellow card given to “Nankai Trough Earthquake Temporary Information” (TBS NEWS DIG Powered by JNN)

■Criticism, skepticism, and revised recommendations…Researchers point out problems with “temporary information” at academic conferences There are concerns that it will happen in the near future, and at worst, it is expected to happen. major damage one order of magnitude greater than the Great East Japan Earthquake mega-earthquake. After a magnitude 7.1 earthquake occurred in Hyuga-nada, within the presumed epicenter area, on August 8, 2024, the Japan Meteorological Agency issued “Nankai Trough Earthquake Provisional Information (under investigation)” and “Earthquake Provisional Information Nankai Trough Earth (Major Earthquake Warning)”. )” for the first time.[Féach grianghraf]A seismological authority makes a scary “no”… A certain number of people who felt confused, suspicious, and anxious during the process wanted reassurance On the other hand, how did earthquake experts respond and prevention​​​​ disaster on the first “Nankai Trough Earthquake Provisional Information” (hereinafter referred to as “Provisional Information”), although it was announced almost according to established procedures? At the 2024 Autumn Conference of the Seismological Society of Japan held in Niigata City from October 21 to October 23, multiple researchers criticized and questioned the “temporary information” mechanisms and the presentation, and asked they review. Description of their contents. ■ A seismological authority makes an alarming statement: “There are problems with the scientific basis and design of the system.” Katsuhiko Ishibashi, professor emeritus at Kobe University: “I want to express a critical opinion. First of all, this provisional information … I think there is little scientific basis and the accuracy is low.” on seismology, the term “temporary information. ” On October 22, Mr. Ishibashi gave a presentation entitled “Problems with the Extraordinary Information of the Umar Nankai Earthquake Announced on August 8, 2024,” and he mainly focused on the two aspects of scientific basis and design systems. The following four viewpoints were cited as reasons for the lack of scientific evidence. ■Four reasons for lack of scientific basis 1) The 7.1 magnitude earthquake that occurred at 4:42 pm on August 8, with its epicenter in the Hyuga-nada Sea, was Umar Nankai, which prompted the announcement on the “Provisional Information”. earthquake.