Yemen’s Houthi attacks on Red Sea ships: analysts caution against escalation

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The Houthi Rebels’ Attacks on Shipping Vessels in the Red Sea

A 10-country coalition led by the United States is facing challenges in deterring the Houthi rebels from attacking ships in the Red Sea. Despite the coalition’s efforts, analysts believe that the Houthis remain committed to their attacks, citing their interest in pressuring Israel to end its war on Gaza.

According to Houthi officials, the attacks on commercial and military ships connected to Israel are aimed at ending the Israeli offensive in Gaza. The Houthi attacks have garnered domestic support in Yemen and have allowed the group to recruit new fighters. Analyst Gregory Brew from the Eurasia Group commented, “The Houthis aren’t going to stop what they’re doing until the Israeli offensive in Gaza concludes, and even then they are likely to continue for some time after.”

The impact of the attacks on global shipping has been significant, with at least 12 shipping companies suspending transit through the Red Sea. This has affected the transportation of seaborne oil, liquefied natural gas, grain, palm oil, and manufactured goods, leading to extended journey times and increased costs for shipping companies.

In response to the attacks, the United States has imposed sanctions on alleged financiers of the Houthis and has formed a 10-nation maritime coalition to deter the attacks. However, Yemen’s internationally recognized government, operating out of Aden, has condemned the attacks while being cautious not to be perceived as supportive of Israel.

Meanwhile, Iran, a key backer of the Houthis, has been reluctant to take steps that could lead to an expansion of the war in Gaza to the broader region. However, experts have pointed out that Iran’s influence on the Houthis may have limitations.

The Houthi rebels’ support for the people of Gaza has been popular among Yemenis, leading to widespread protests, boycotts, and recruitment drives. This support has allowed the Houthis to recruit new fighters and clash with the Yemeni government forces.

The attacks on shipping vessels in the Red Sea are not only a military strategy but also a diplomatic one, as the Houthis and Saudi Arabia have been engaged in dialogue aimed at a long-term ceasefire. Tensions in the Red Sea and potential disruptions to oil trade have economic implications for regional economies.

Despite the rhetoric and attacks, both the Houthis and the US have exercised restraint, with the US coalition focused on defending ships passing through the Red Sea. The Houthis’ spokesperson, Mohamed Abdulsalam, has emphasized the group’s commitment to its naval operations.

As the situation unfolds, the Red Sea remains a critical region for global shipping, and the Houthi rebels’ attacks continue to raise concerns among the international community and shipping companies.

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