Zira’s chances of passing the stage – ANALYTICS – 2024-07-16 01:18:04

by times news cr

2024-07-16 01:18:04

Zira started the European Cup season with an away victory.

As reported by İdman.biz, the Baku club, which scored an unanswered goal against Moldovan Sheriff, began a two-match duel with such a result for the first time in its history.

This is the ninth time such a case has happened in Azerbaijani football. Until now, our representatives have rejoiced at the score of 1:0 in the first match of the confrontation on the opponent’s field 8 times.

For the first time in Finland

“Qarabag” was our first club to win the first game away with a one-goal advantage. The representative of Aghdam returned from Finland in 2009 with a victory. In Baku, Gurban Gurbanov’s team managed to defeat “Honka” again.

Sadykhov’s experience in “Karabakh”

In general, in the first match of the pair, “Karabakh” won the hosts with a score of 1:0 more than anyone else – 6 times. The head coach of “Zira” Rashad Sadikhov witnessed all these victories of the Aghdam club, playing for it for many years. Sadikhov’s team beat all their opponents in Baku, whom they beat with a difference of 1 goal. Two of them were beaten in the Champions League and four in the Europa League. “Karabakh” beat 5 of six opponents in Baku. Only “Olimpia” left our country undefeated, but to pass the stage, our champion needed a victory in the first game.

5 years later

But for a long time, Azerbaijani clubs have not achieved such a result in the first match. The last team to do so was Neftchi. Five years ago, the Baku team beat Russia’s Arsenal. And then they crushed them at home, scoring three unanswered goals. Five years later, Zira was pleased with an away victory with a score of 1:0.

Three defeats

Overall, Azerbaijani teams have thrashed their opponents at home three times after a 1-0 away win. Qarabag was the first to do so. Gurban Gurbanov’s team hosted Maltese Valletta in the Champions League and scored 4 unanswered goals. Young Boys were slapped three times by the Aghdam team. The latest thrashing was Neftchi’s victory over Arsenal.

The only exception

“Inter” is the only Azerbaijani club that won with a difference of one goal on the opponent’s field, but could not pass the stage. The current “Shamakhi” could not pass “Elfsborg”, having beaten the opponent in Sweden. Our representative, who lost in Baku with the same score, lost in a penalty shootout.

87.5 percent for Zira

As you can see, Azerbaijani clubs have passed the stage in 7 of the 8 previous similar cases. This means 87.5 percent. The success of Sheriff, like Elfsborg, is 12.5 percent. In short, Rashad Sadykhov’s charges have 7 times more chances to pass the stage. If you look at the results of the return games, then in the previous 8 similar cases there were 6 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. That is, Zira has a 75 percent chance of passing the stage with a win and a 12.5 percent chance of passing the stage with a draw.

Second matches of Azerbaijani clubs that won away with a score of 1:0:

Season 2009/10
Europa League

“Karabakh” – “Honka” – 2:1

Season 2010/11
Europa League

“Karabakh” – “Visula” – 3:2

Season 2013/14
Europa League

“Karabakh” – “Metallurg” – 1:0

Season 2014/15
Champions League

Karabakh – Valletta – 4:0

Europa League

Inter – Elfsborg – 0:1, p. 3:4

Season 2015/16
Europa League

Karabakh – Young Boys – 3:0

Season 2018/19
Champions League

“Karabakh” – “Olimpia” – 0:0

Season 2019/20
Europa League

Neftchi – Arsenal – 3:0.

Vugar Kheyrullaev

İdman.biz

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