2025 Hedge Fund Performance: Bridgewater & D.E. Shaw Lead Gains

by Mark Thompson

NEW YORK, January 2, 2026

Hedge Funds Rack Up Record Gains Amidst Trade War Volatility

Top firms like Bridgewater and D.E. Shaw saw substantial returns in 2025, capitalizing on market uncertainty.

  • Hedge funds posted their best returns in at least five years.
  • Bridgewater Associates’ Pure Alpha II fund surged 34%, a record high.
  • D.E. Shaw & Co. strategies soared as much as 28.2%.
  • The gains were largely fueled by volatility in global markets stemming from trade tensions.

Hedge funds enjoyed a banner year in 2025, with initial estimates pointing to the strongest industry returns in at least half a decade. Surging U.S. stocks, precious metals, and the unpredictable swings in bond and currency markets—all spurred by President Donald Trump’s trade policies—created a lucrative environment for skilled traders. What were the overall returns for hedge funds in 2025? Industry returns are on track to be the best in at least five years.

Bridgewater’s Rebound and Ray Dalio’s Exit

Bridgewater Associates, the 50-year-old investment giant, led the charge with impressive double-digit returns across its various strategies. The firm’s flagship Pure Alpha II macro fund delivered a remarkable 34% gain, its best performance ever. The All Weather strategy also performed well, rising 20%. This success comes as Bridgewater undergoes a significant transformation under sole CEO Nir Bar Dea, who has implemented personnel changes and asset cuts aimed at boosting performance.

Notably, billionaire founder Ray Dalio has completely exited the firm, selling his remaining stake and stepping down from the board last year. Bridgewater’s Pure Alpha II fund’s 2025 gains mark a significant turnaround from annualized returns of less than 3% between 2012 and 2024. The firm’s AIA Labs fund, which leverages machine learning in its investment decisions, also contributed to the positive results, gaining 11% and managing over $5 billion in assets.

D.E. Shaw and Other Top Performers

D.E. Shaw & Co. also experienced substantial gains, with its strategies soaring as much as 28.2%. The firm’s flagship multistrategy Composite hedge fund gained 18.5%, while Oculus achieved an estimated 28.2% return. Michel Massoud’s event-driven Melqart Opportunities Fund saw even more dramatic growth, surging 45%.

Millennium Management, with $83.5 billion under management, posted a 10.5% gain. ExodusPoint, which has been expanding its equities group, achieved an 18% increase—its best performance since its founding in 2017, managing approximately $12 billion. Citadel’s flagship hedge fund increased by 10.2%, marking the first year Millennium outperformed Citadel’s Wellington fund since 2020.

Quantitative Strategies Shine

In the realm of quantitative investing, AQR Capital Management’s multistrategy offering returned 19.6% in 2025. Here’s a look at how other hedge funds fared last year, based on initial estimates:

Hedge Fund Strategy 2025 Return
Melqart Opportunities Event-Driven 45.1%
Bridgewater Asia  Macro 37
Discovery  Macro 35.6
Bridgewater Pure Alpha II Macro 34
Bridgewater China Macro 34
DE Shaw Oculus Multistrategy 28.2
Soroban Opportunities Equity Long/Short 25
AQR Adaptive Quant Equity Market Neutral 24.4
Anson Investments Master Equity 21.2
Bridgewater All Weather Risk Parity 20
AQR Apex Quant Multistrategy 19.6
Citadel Tactical Trading Multistrategy 18.6
DE Shaw Composite Multistrategy 18.5
Dymon Multistrategy 18.1
ExodusPoint Multistrategy 18.04
Kite Lake Special Opportunities Event-Driven 17.9
AQR Delphi Quant Equity Long/Short 16.8
Balyasny Multistrategy 16.7
Schonfeld Fundamental Equity Multimanager equity 16.5
Walleye Multistrategy 15.5
Citadel Equities Equities 14.5
LMR Partners Multistrategy 13.5
Schonfeld Strategic Partners Multistrategy 12.5
Marshall Wace Eureka*/Equity Long/Short 11.6
Pinpoint Multi-Strategy Multistrategy 11.6
Bridgewater AIA  Quant Macro 11
Taula Macro 11
Millennium  Multistrategy 10.5
Citadel Wellington Multistrategy 10.2
FIFTHDELTA Equity 10.3
New Holland Tactical Alpha Multistrategy 9.8
Citadel Global Fixed Income Fixed Income 9.4
Winton Quant multistrategy 7.4
     
Source: Bloomberg reporting    
*as of Dec. 30    

Representatives for Bridgewater, which managed $92 billion as of September, and for the other hedge funds mentioned, declined to comment.

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