NEW YORK, January 2, 2026
Hedge Funds Rack Up Record Gains Amidst Trade War Volatility
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Top firms like Bridgewater and D.E. Shaw saw substantial returns in 2025, capitalizing on market uncertainty.
- Hedge funds posted their best returns in at least five years.
- Bridgewater Associates’ Pure Alpha II fund surged 34%, a record high.
- D.E. Shaw & Co. strategies soared as much as 28.2%.
- The gains were largely fueled by volatility in global markets stemming from trade tensions.
Hedge funds enjoyed a banner year in 2025, with initial estimates pointing to the strongest industry returns in at least half a decade. Surging U.S. stocks, precious metals, and the unpredictable swings in bond and currency markets—all spurred by President Donald Trump’s trade policies—created a lucrative environment for skilled traders. What were the overall returns for hedge funds in 2025? Industry returns are on track to be the best in at least five years.
Bridgewater’s Rebound and Ray Dalio’s Exit
Bridgewater Associates, the 50-year-old investment giant, led the charge with impressive double-digit returns across its various strategies. The firm’s flagship Pure Alpha II macro fund delivered a remarkable 34% gain, its best performance ever. The All Weather strategy also performed well, rising 20%. This success comes as Bridgewater undergoes a significant transformation under sole CEO Nir Bar Dea, who has implemented personnel changes and asset cuts aimed at boosting performance.
Notably, billionaire founder Ray Dalio has completely exited the firm, selling his remaining stake and stepping down from the board last year. Bridgewater’s Pure Alpha II fund’s 2025 gains mark a significant turnaround from annualized returns of less than 3% between 2012 and 2024. The firm’s AIA Labs fund, which leverages machine learning in its investment decisions, also contributed to the positive results, gaining 11% and managing over $5 billion in assets.
D.E. Shaw and Other Top Performers
D.E. Shaw & Co. also experienced substantial gains, with its strategies soaring as much as 28.2%. The firm’s flagship multistrategy Composite hedge fund gained 18.5%, while Oculus achieved an estimated 28.2% return. Michel Massoud’s event-driven Melqart Opportunities Fund saw even more dramatic growth, surging 45%.
Millennium Management, with $83.5 billion under management, posted a 10.5% gain. ExodusPoint, which has been expanding its equities group, achieved an 18% increase—its best performance since its founding in 2017, managing approximately $12 billion. Citadel’s flagship hedge fund increased by 10.2%, marking the first year Millennium outperformed Citadel’s Wellington fund since 2020.
Quantitative Strategies Shine
In the realm of quantitative investing, AQR Capital Management’s multistrategy offering returned 19.6% in 2025. Here’s a look at how other hedge funds fared last year, based on initial estimates:
| Hedge Fund | Strategy | 2025 Return |
|---|---|---|
| Melqart Opportunities | Event-Driven | 45.1% |
| Bridgewater Asia | Macro | 37 |
| Discovery | Macro | 35.6 |
| Bridgewater Pure Alpha II | Macro | 34 |
| Bridgewater China | Macro | 34 |
| DE Shaw Oculus | Multistrategy | 28.2 |
| Soroban Opportunities | Equity Long/Short | 25 |
| AQR Adaptive | Quant Equity Market Neutral | 24.4 |
| Anson Investments Master | Equity | 21.2 |
| Bridgewater All Weather | Risk Parity | 20 |
| AQR Apex | Quant Multistrategy | 19.6 |
| Citadel Tactical Trading | Multistrategy | 18.6 |
| DE Shaw Composite | Multistrategy | 18.5 |
| Dymon | Multistrategy | 18.1 |
| ExodusPoint | Multistrategy | 18.04 |
| Kite Lake Special Opportunities | Event-Driven | 17.9 |
| AQR Delphi | Quant Equity Long/Short | 16.8 |
| Balyasny | Multistrategy | 16.7 |
| Schonfeld Fundamental Equity | Multimanager equity | 16.5 |
| Walleye | Multistrategy | 15.5 |
| Citadel Equities | Equities | 14.5 |
| LMR Partners | Multistrategy | 13.5 |
| Schonfeld Strategic Partners | Multistrategy | 12.5 |
| Marshall Wace | Eureka*/Equity Long/Short | 11.6 |
| Pinpoint Multi-Strategy | Multistrategy | 11.6 |
| Bridgewater AIAÂ | Quant Macro | 11 |
| Taula | Macro | 11 |
| Millennium | Multistrategy | 10.5 |
| Citadel Wellington | Multistrategy | 10.2 |
| FIFTHDELTA | Equity | 10.3 |
| New Holland Tactical Alpha | Multistrategy | 9.8 |
| Citadel Global Fixed Income | Fixed Income | 9.4 |
| Winton | Quant multistrategy | 7.4 |
| Â | Â | Â |
| Source: Bloomberg reporting | Â | Â |
| *as of Dec. 30 | Â | Â |
Representatives for Bridgewater, which managed $92 billion as of September, and for the other hedge funds mentioned, declined to comment.
