Political scientist Armen Minasyan writes on his Facebook page.
“Tatevik Revazyan managed to include Armenia in a list that includes African countries, Afghanistan, Iran and North Korea in two years.
On April 3, it became clear that EASA prepared a REPORT, with which it showed a red card to Armenian aviation.
In football terminology, Armenia did not commit any obvious violation and should not have received a red card immediately. And so it is. It turned out that this was a red after two yellow cards. We received the first yellow card on December 9 of last year, when the European Commission adopted a decision by which it actually said that Armenian aviation should be banned in the territory of Europe, but we are not banning it yet and we will go for on-site studies in the near future.
Later it turned out that they visited Armenia in February, studied, did not abandon their preliminary assessments and, as Tatevik Revazyan informed, showed a red card on March 6.
All the tales that this was a surprise, that we didn’t send the letter to Mulberry, that we will appeal, we will do this, we will do that, are pointless. EASA made the report, as I understand it, sent it to us to get acquainted, to receive comments (which, according to everything, will not be taken into account). The report itself does not contain a sanction, but at the scheduled session of the relevant department of the European Commission in May (if, of course, the session is not postponed due to the coronavirus), it is possible that EU Regulation (EC) No. 474/2006 will be applied to Armenia, that is, we will be banned from flying within the EU. list of countries.
We have a situation where there was a leak of information, the relevant bodies at the initial stage began to deny it half-heartedly, later they had to accept the fact, but created a confusion of concepts, then they tried to blame the lack of translation or the employee who did not access the letter, and in the end they started hanging on foams (including the opinion of a foreign dental technician regarding corruption in Armenia) and making false excuses (as if we are going to appeal).
Revazyan’s excuses can be divided into three groups.
It’s not us, it’s the airlines.
B/ the old problems are the result of corruption,
C/ we are eliminating the shortcomings, but it takes time D/ the reason is the airplanes flying in Africa.
These are false because:
A/ the report was mainly about the Civil Aviation Committee of Armenia, and the crux of the report is that the CAC does not have the necessary capabilities to carry out control.
B/ In the past, when according to Revazyan there was corruption, and now there is none, we passed the same audits successfully, and it is still unknown what the corruption has to do with the ability to carry out the technical control of the aircraft.
C/ EASA wrote in black and white in November of last year that “the existing deficiencies are not a reason for a complete deprivation” and gave time not only to correct the deficiencies, but also to at least demonstrate such an intention.
D/ since independence, Armenian airplanes flew in Africa, were even captured (you will remember Equatorial Guinea), but that was not a reason to show a red card to our aviation sector.
And in fact, there were two factors in 2018-2020 that could affect the ranking of our KAC:
1. Personnel massacre,
2. The entry of low-costers.
The personnel massacre suggests that special personnel of a specific field were pushed out of the system, allegedly, under the pretext of serving their predecessors, as a result of which the field was left without the necessary personnel. Let’s agree that if the Atomic Energy Agency made a “revolution” with this logic, and the IAEA came for inspections, it would have definitely indicated that you guys should close the nuclear power plant, because you are endangering all of us with your personnel policy. And Tatevik Revazyan did it, he fired the unique specialist heads of key departments in the KAC. I won’t be surprised if Tatevik was told in Brussels in November of last year: dear, you still have the specialists, please take them back to work, let them continue to serve the sector. And in February, they came to check whether the specialists had started work or not. And since Tatevik refused to “lick his spit”, we have what we have.
And now about motives. The circumstances of the decisions (or lack of them) in the created situation can be explained by two reasons: criminal inaction (insanity, negligence), or criminal intent.
I’m not discussing negligence and insanity, because yesterday I saw what maneuvers they used to try to divert the arrows from the real problems (houses, at least if you said it was a surprise for us and pretended to be crazy). In other words, they understand what we are dealing with, what are the reasons and what is the extent of responsibility. On the other hand, swinging the sword of Damocles for 5 months would hardly worry the people in charge of the sector, and even if 1-2 are insane, the others should have acted quickly.
It turns out that there is a high probability that we are dealing with intention. The entry of low-cost carriers, giving them various preferences (subsidies, exemption from air tax, granting privileges at the airport, etc.) and direct opposition to classic companies (from using Zvartnots to opening a parallel low-cost flight to existing destinations) suggest that we are dealing with consistent dumping in the aviation market with the participation of the state. as a result of which the monopoly of European destinations will gradually (and after the coronavirus epidemic, perhaps, definitely and at once) pass to one (Ryan Air) or two (plus WizzAir) companies. Austrian, Czech, Polish, French, Italian, Greek, Romanian and other European airlines will not fight in vain for our small market and will quietly leave.
The only competitors could be the Armenian airlines, which submitted applications for flights to Europe in the summer of last year, but as we can see, the KAC crushed those plans.
And before I prepare a detailed investigation about all this, I would like to ask you to help me to get answers to two questions.
1. What connects the Armenian authorities and the low-cost companies that are destroying the Armenian aviation market hand in hand?
2. Is Nikol Pashinyan aware of all this, or is this being done by keeping him in an informational quarantine (we are translating the report).
HG. With the signature of Tatevik Revazyan, this document will have the value of a paper that is currently in great demand in Europe in a month.”
(function(d, s, id) {
var js, fjs = d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];
if (d.getElementById(id)) return;
js = d.createElement(s); js.id = id;
js.src = “//connect.facebook.net/ru_RU/sdk.js#xfbml=1&version=v2.6&appId=403315783090535”;
fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js, fjs);
}(document, ‘script’, ‘facebook-jssdk’));(function(d, s, id) {
var js, fjs = d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];
if (d.getElementById(id)) return;
js = d.createElement(s); js.id = id;
js.src = “//connect.facebook.net/en_US/all.js#xfbml=1&appId=429534133762584”;
fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js, fjs);
}(document, ‘script’, ‘facebook-jssdk’));