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The Arsenal of Democracy: Why America Needs Allies to Counter China’s industrial Might
Table of Contents
The future of global security hinges on manufacturing prowess – the nation that can produce the most steel, aircraft, missiles, and computer chips is best positioned to prevail in a protracted conflict. While the United States once stood as the world’s undisputed industrial superpower, its current share of global manufacturing has fallen to 17 percent, lagging behind China’s 28 percent and growing lead. However, america is not without recourse; a revitalized network of alliances and partnerships offers a path to matching China’s industrial capacity and deterring potential aggression.
The Tomahawk Dilemma: A Symptom of a Larger Problem
The Tomahawk cruise missile, a cornerstone of American military power capable of striking targets over 1,000 miles away with pinpoint accuracy, exemplifies the challenges facing the U.S. defense industrial base. In June, the military deployed 30 Tomahawks against Iranian nuclear facilities, demonstrating the weapon’s effectiveness and minimizing risk to american personnel. Yet, with escalating threats in Europe, the Middle East, and Asia, demand for these missiles is surging, raising concerns about potential shortages in a prolonged war.
Last year, a potential solution emerged: a collaborative agreement to co-produce Tomahawks at a factory in Japan, potentially doubling production. The negotiations were complex, requiring the U.S. to secure commitments from Japan regarding the manufacturing, use, and sale of the weapons. However, the deal ultimately faltered not due to Japanese reluctance, but from opposition within the U.S. government.
According to a former senior official involved in the negotiations, some officials within the State and Defense Departments argued that expanding production abroad would harm the U.S. economy and jeopardize its technological advantage. An executive at RTX (formerly raytheon), the Tomahawk’s manufacturer, reportedly advocated for delaying the decision until after the November election. (RTX has denied attempting to obstruct the process.) The agreement subsequently stalled during the initial months of a second Trump administration.
A Manufacturing Gap: The U.S. Falls Behind
The failed Tomahawk deal underscores a critical vulnerability in American national security: the inability to independently keep pace with China’s rapidly expanding industrial capacity. China currently controls nearly 28 percent of global manufacturing, while the U.S. accounts for just 17 percent. Estimates suggest China is acquiring advanced weapons systems and equipment at a rate five to six times faster than the United States. One Chinese shipyard alone possesses a greater shipbuilding capacity than the entirety of the American shipbuilding industry combined.
This disparity risks relegating the United States to a position similar to that of Great Britain in the late 19th century, or Germany and Japan in the 20th – overtaken by a rising industrial power. History demonstrates that such competitions frequently enough culminate in catastrophic conflict.China’s assertive trade practices, increasing hostility towards its neighbors, and accelerating military buildup necessitate a credible deterrent.
The Power of Alliances: A Collective Response
A viable solution lies in leveraging the strength of alliances. While the U.S. cannot match China’s industrial output alone, it can do so when combined with its closest allies – Japan, South Korea, canada,
