Biden and Trump tied for the presidential elections | The US president and his predecessor reach 43 percent of the vote

2023-08-01 22:53:07

The US president, Democrat Joe Biden, is tied in voting intentions with former Republican president Donald Trump in the race for the 2024 elections, according to a poll published Tuesday by the New York Times newspaper. Despite the criminal charges against Trump, the poll, conducted July 23-27, found the two tied at 43 percent “if the presidential election were held today.”

According to the poll, 45 percent of Democratic voters support a repeat candidate for Biden, a figure that is up sharply from July of last year, when only 26 percent wanted the president to seek re-election. The outlet attributes this increase to the Supreme Court’s decision to eliminate the right to abortion, the good performance of the Democrats in the midterm elections and the slowdown in inflation in recent months.

The same poll reveals that Biden’s approval rating is 39 percent, a low number for a president seeking re-election, although it increased from 33 percent in July 2022. If he were finally measured against Trump, the Democratic leader he would win among women, college students and blacks, but is showing signs of weakness among Latino voters, who are leaning Republican.

The survey consulted 1,329 people and has a margin of error of 3.67 points. The New York Times published this poll one day after having released another according to which Trump is unbeatable against the rest of the Republican candidates in the primaries, despite facing numerous judicial fronts.

The former president is the big favorite in the Republican race with 54 percent support, well ahead of his future great rival, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who has 17 percent. The rest of the candidates fail to get off the ground: former Vice President Mike Pence, Senator Tim Scott and former UN ambassador Nikki Haley are left with 3 percent.

Trials don’t make a dent

This survey is not an isolated case. The former president’s lead has risen from 16 points to 36 points in the RealClearPolitics polling average since he was indicted in Manhattan four months ago for falsifying business records. During that period, a jury in a civil trial found him guilty of sexually abusing a writer in New York, he was charged with 40 other federal crimes for his handling of top-secret national security documents and also for alleged obstruction of justice.

Many of his aides have been found guilty of crimes, including his boss and deputy chief of his 2016 campaign, his chief strategist and national security adviser, his personal attorney and two foreign policy advisers. “By the time we enter the debate stage on August 23, the favorite will be out on bail in four different jurisdictions,” said fellow Republican White House hopeful Chris Christie.

Trump himself anticipated on Monday that he will also be charged soon for the assault on the Capitol in January 2021, when a mob of his supporters attacked the Legislature to interrupt the ratification of Biden’s victory in the last presidential elections. “I am the only person who has been charged and I have become more popular,” the former president recently boasted in Iowa and added that discursive line to the campaign in recent months.

“Trump did an excellent job not only controlling the narrative, but standing on top of it,” warned Democratic election strategist Amani Wells-Onyioha, adding: “He has consistently told his supporters that he is being unfairly targeted and that any The accusation is an attempt to bring him down. They believe what he says because his accusations only feed that narrative.”