Coalition Losing Seats: New Poll Results

Michal Šimečka’s Progressive Slovakia (PS) is currently projected to win parliamentary elections, according to the latest polling data. The survey, conducted by the AKO agency, reveals a slight uptick in support for the opposition leader, signaling a potential shift in the political landscape.

Government Coalition Faces Uphill Battle

A new poll suggests the current ruling parties in Slovakia are facing critically important challenges in maintaining their majority.

• Progressive Slovakia leads with 23.6% of decided voter support.
• The slovak National Party (SNS) risks falling below the 5% threshold for parliamentary representation.
• The governing smer-SD party shows stagnation in voter preference.
• A potential opposition bloc could secure a majority with support from the Slovak Movement.

The survey, carried out between December 9 and 16, 2025, polled 1,000 respondents, asking them wich party they would vote for if elections were held the following weekend.

PS Gains Ground, Smer Holds Steady

Progressive Slovakia currently holds 23.6% of the vote among decided voters, a slight increase from 23.3% in November. This solidifies their position as the strongest political force in the country.

Smer-SD trails in second place with 22.9%, remaining relatively stable compared to the previous month’s 22.8%. Hlas-SD, another key player in the current government, garnered 14.4% of the vote.

From a governing perspective, the survey presents challenges for the current coalition. Smer-SD (30 seats) and Hlas-SD (17 seats) would collectively hold 47 mandates. Even with the support of Republika (12 seats), they would fall short of a majority, totaling only 59 votes.

Conversely, a potential alliance of Progressive Slovakia, SaS, KDH, and the Democrats would command exactly half of the parliament – 75 seats. Forming a stable government would require negotiations with the Slovak Movement (16 seats), which would become a crucial deciding factor.

Voter Turnout and Undecided Voters

The survey indicates a relatively high level of intended participation, with 63.4% of eligible voters expressing willingness to vote. however, 14.3% stated they would not vote, and 18.8% remain undecided.An additional 2.7% declined to answer.

What factors might influence the final election outcome? The significant number of undecided voters (18.8%) suggests the election result is still fluid and susceptible to shifts based on campaign developments and voter engagement.