Ferrari WEC São Paulo: Longrun Analysis & Strategy Shift?

by liam.oconnor - Sports Editor
                    <p>Another Ferrari victory for the long-distance World Cup (WEC) would no longer be conveyed. <a href="https://de.motorsport.com/wec/news/bop-analyse-wec-sao-paulo-2025-jetzt-kriegt-ferrari-es-richtig-ab-25070803/3430416/" target="_blank">The Balance of Performance (BOP) takes a correspondingly hard before the race in Interlagos.</a> The system is automated. Since the runs according to Le Mans are only a show run for the manufacturers, the outstanding races allow experiments.</p><p>The most interesting question that arises according to Le Mans is probably: How bad does the Ferrari 499P be classified so that it can be brought back into the field? The values in Interlagos coincide with Toyota's classification of spa. Nevertheless, a Toyota GR010 Hybrid in Belgium was even there in the fight for podium places. ((<a href="https://www.motorsport-total.com/wec/news/infos-wec-6h-sao-paulo-2025-zeitplan-livestream-starterliste-und-co-25071001">All information about the 6h Sao Paulo 2025</a>)</p><p>Im <a href="https://de.motorsport.com/wec/news/wec-sao-paulo-2025-cadillac-stuermt-erste-reihe-mick-ohne-chance-25071202/3430636/" target="_blank">Qualifying</a> the BOP brake was clearly noticeable. But what about the racing trim? As usual, the analysis of all lap times follows, which were individually available within five seconds to the personal best of each vehicle - separately after the training sessions.</p><h2>First training: Porsche makes the pace</h2><p>Based on this scheme, the following result results for the first free training:</p><p>1.    Porsche #5 - 01:26,904</p><p>2. Porsche #6 - 01:26,904</p><p>3. Cadillac #12 - 01:27,008</p><p>4.   Peugeot #94 - 01:27,158</p><p>5.    Peugeot #93 - 01:27,180</p><p>6.    BMW #15 - 01:27,231</p><p>7.    Alpine #35 - 01:27,244</p><p>8. Cadillac #38 - 01:27,250</p><p>9. A-range-Ferrari # 83 - 01: 27,300</p><p>10.   Toyota #7 - 01:27,335</p><p>11. Alpine #36 - 01:27,353</p><p>12.    Ferrari #50 - 01:27,362</p><p>13.   BMW #20 - 01:27,365</p><p>14.   Toyota #8 - 01:27,380</p><p>15. Aston Martin #007 - 01:27,561</p><p>16. Aston Martin #009 - 01:27,584</p><p>17. Proton -Porsche #99 - 01: 27.750</p><p>18.  Ferrari #51 - 01:28,303</p><p>The Porsche 963 factory was the fastest in the Longrun, followed by Cadillac and Peugeot. These results are not a surprise based on the BOP, because these are the three cars that are most favorable for the race in view of their previous performances.</p><section contenteditable="false" draggable="true" data-widget="image" data-title="Zeiten 1. Freies Training: Porsche, Cadillac und Peugeot vorn weg" data-author="smg/Stritzke"><img draggable="false" src="https://cdn-0.motorsport.com/static/img/archive/de/news/3430640/313753.jpg" alt="Times 1. Free training: Porsche, Cadillac and Peugeot in front"/><p class="title text-fg-default text-body font-bold">Times 1. Free training: Porsche, Cadillac and Peugeot in front</p> <p class="photographer text-fg-muted text-body-sm">Photo: SMG/stritzke</p></section><p>Striking: The Peugeot 9x8 is still a little stronger than the previous data could be expected. On the other hand, the 9x8 was already competitive in SPA, but the factory team failed there.</p><p>The BOP of horror seems to work at Ferrari. Even the yellow Ferrari, who whistles in Le Mans in the training sessions on all sandbagging, sorts in the middle of the field. Toyota is similar.</p><h2>Second training: really everything the same?</h2><p>The results for the second free training on Friday afternoon:</p><p>1.    Porsche #5 - 01:26,103</p><p>2. Porsche #6 - 01:26,314</p><p>3. Cadillac #12 - 01:26,487</p><p>4.   Peugeot #94 - 01:26,617</p><p>5.    Alpine #35 - 01:26,626</p><p>6. BMW #20 - 01:26,723</p><p>7.    Aston Martin #007 - 01:26,788</p><p>8.  Alpine #36 - 01:26,801</p><p>9. BMW #15 - 01:26,873</p><p>10.   Toyota #8 - 01:26,895</p><p>11. Toyota #7 - 01:26,967</p><p>12. Peugeot #93 - 01:26,972</p><p>13.   Ferrari #51 - 01:27,068</p><p>14.   Cadillac #38 - 01:27,120</p><p>15. AF-sac-Ferrari # 83 - 01: 27,186</p><p>16.   Ferrari #50 - 01:27,266</p><p>17.   Aston Martin #009 - 01:27,278</p><p>18. Proton -Porsche #99 - 01: 27.527</p><p>At first glance, it looks like a copy paste: In the second training session, too, the two factory Porsche and the Cadillac #12 are back at the top in the Longruns, followed by Peugeot #94. All in all, the impression of the first training is solidified that these three vehicle types are that will make the victory among themselves.</p><section contenteditable="false" draggable="true" data-widget="image" data-title="2. Freies Training: Im Großen und Ganzen ein Abziehbild des ersten" data-author="smg/Stritzke"><img draggable="false" src="https://cdn-0.motorsport.com/static/img/archive/de/news/3430640/313754.jpg" alt="2. Free training: On the whole, a decal of the first"/><p class="title text-fg-default text-body font-bold">2. Free training: On the whole, a decal of the first</p> <p class="photographer text-fg-muted text-body-sm">Photo: SMG/stritzke</p></section><p>BMW and alpine appear at a level in the Longrun. Experience has shown that BMW is always a little stronger in the race than in the training sailing grunts, since the M Hybrid V8 take the word "Longrun" very literally and drive really long in a row. As a result, the cut tends to pull down a little.</p><p>The performance of the Aston Martin #007 is remarkable, but this is a runaway compared to the other training sessions. Valkyrie is strong than ever, but in the Longrun a little more is missing than it appears in the training results.</p><h2>Third training: Ferrari back?</h2><p>In the third training session, the picture is a little different. Above all, the fastest vehicle surprises:</p><p>1. Ferrari #50 - 01:26,529</p><p>2.    Peugeot #93 - 01:26,559</p><p>3.    Peugeot #94 - 01:26,696</p><p>4.    Cadillac #12 - 01:26,765</p><p>5. Proton -Porsche #99 - 01: 26.784</p><p>6. Alpine #35 - 01:26,806</p><p>7. Alpine #36 - 01:26,817</p><p>8. Porsche #5 - 01:26,832</p><p>9. BMW #15 - 01:26,868</p><p>10.   Ferrari #51 - 01:26,909</p><p>11. AF-sac-Ferrari # 83 - 01: 26.920</p><p>12.    Cadillac #38 - 01:27,027</p><p>13.  Porsche #6 - 01:27,126</p><p>14.    Aston Martin #009 - 01:27,170</p><p>15. BMW #20 - 01:27,173</p><p>16.   Toyota #7 - 01:27,268</p><p>17. Toyota #8 - 01:27,493</p><p>18. Aston Martin #007 - 01:27,579</p><p>First of all, it should be noted that the factory Porsche waived qualifying simulations and therefore have no lace times that pull the cut. So they are much better than they appear in this statistics.</p><section contenteditable="false" draggable="true" data-widget="image" data-title="3. Training: Und plötzlich ist Ferrari wieder ganz oben..." data-author="smg/Stritzke"><img draggable="false" src="https://cdn-0.motorsport.com/static/img/archive/de/news/3430640/313755.jpg" alt="3. Training: And suddenly Ferrari is at the top again ..."/><p class="title text-fg-default text-body font-bold">3. Training: And suddenly Ferrari is at the top again ...</p> <p class="photographer text-fg-muted text-body-sm">Photo: SMG/stritzke</p></section><p>But how does the Ferrari #50 get to the top? This is indeed interesting. Although there is a qualifying excre (1: 24.185) by Antonio Fuoco, this is also the case with most other vehicles.</p><p>The strong average time comes from a run of 18 constants 1: 26 times the Miguel Molina and Nicklas Nielsen. Her two runs consisted exclusively of 26 and 27 times with a few 25s.</p><p>They never slipped into the 28 and 29er area, which is the case with all vehicles except BMW #15 in the third training session and pulls the cut down there. The Porsche made similarly impressive stints, the #5 and #99 only had a 28 period, the #6 of their three.</p><section contenteditable="false" draggable="true" data-widget="video"><img class="sizer" draggable="false" src="data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAABAAAAAJCAYAAAA7KqwyAAAAGXRFWHRTb2Z0d2FyZQBBZG9iZSBJbWFnZVJlYWR5ccllPAAAABpJREFUeNpi/P//PwMlgImBQjBqwLAwACDAAOVfAw9/ZDvcAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC" alt=""/><p><iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xme3-RuGBL0"></iframe></p></section><p>We are faced with a situation similar to that before Le Mans. Has Ferrari just uncovered everything with a car? <a href="https://de.motorsport.com/lemans/news/longrun-analyse-24h-le-mans-2025-welches-spiel-spielt-ferrari-hier-25061313/3428819/" target="_blank">In Le Mans it was only the Longrun of Robert Kubica in the last free training session, which converted the 499p</a>. Or was it just luck in this case?</p><h2>Quintessence: Porsche favorite - if Ferrari doesn't play</h2><p>In the overall picture, Porsche remains the favorite for victory. The Balance of Performance adjustments are starting to show results. Cadillac also demonstrates potential, but proving they can maintain that strong form throughout an entire race remains to be seen. So far, the V-Series has been inconsistent.</p><p>Peugeot is consistently fast as well. Of course, the 9x8 benefits from its classification, no question. But with a <a href="https://de.motorsport.com/lemans/news/neues-peugeot-hypercar-finot-gibt-zu-9x8-immer-noch-kompromiss-25052703/3427807/" target="_blank">car that doesn’t fully comply with the regulations</a>, this can be seen as a bit of a balancing adjustment.</p><p>Ferrari’s long run in the third training session raises questions: an outlier? Favorable traffic conditions? Or a deliberate “leak” revealing their true pace, regardless of classification? It’s too early to say.</p><section class="embed-item showheroes-widget" contenteditable="false" draggable="true" data-widget="embed" data-embed-code="%3Cscript%20data-wid%3D%22auto%22%20type%3D%22text%2Fjavascript%22%20class%3D%22optanon-category-C0003%22%20src%3D%22https%3A%2F%2Fcontent.viralize.tv%2Fdisplay%2F%3Fzid%3DAAFyCT_MIM-ThXO2%22%3E%3C%2Fscript%3E"> </section><section contenteditable="false" draggable="true" data-widget="video"><img class="sizer" draggable="false" src="data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAABAAAAAJCAYAAAA7KqwyAAAAGXRFWHRTb2Z0d2FyZQBBZG9iZSBJbWFnZVJlYWR5ccllPAAAABpJREFUeNpi/P//PwMlgImBQjBqwLAwACDAAOVfAw9/ZDvcAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC" alt=""/><p><iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FbbdcLGQ41Q"></iframe></p></section><p>Ferrari’s history of deception and camouflage, particularly at Le Mans, makes them a team to watch. The run felt a little *too* perfect to attribute to chance. However, the factory cars have challenging starting positions and will need to fight through the field.</p><p>As for the other manufacturers? BMW deserves consideration for reasons already mentioned. WRT’s podium finishes have coincided with stronger long-run performances from BMW. Alpine is likely to be more competitive in the race than in qualifying, but needs to improve their starting positions.</p><p>Toyota, classified only slightly better than in Spa, will need to rely on their ability to consistently extract more performance from the car. Aston Martin is showing progress, but isn’t quite there yet. The direction is positive, though the Balance of Performance will continue to be a factor.</p><img src="https://vg08.met.vgwort.de/na/bae3b3d9f861453da8fe0edd5864778d" width="1" height="1" alt=""/>

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