2023-06-30 13:57:00
Computer simulations carried out by British scientists have just outlined a worrying picture of the risk of ecosystem collapse in the future, such as the feared transformation of the Amazon into an open and impoverished environment.
According to the study, the greater the complexity of the simulation—that is, the closer it is to reality—the greater the probability that these collapses will occur more quickly.
“Our work shows that ecosystems can collapse sooner than expected if they are experiencing multiple stresses at the same time,” explained to Folha the first author of the study, Simon Willcock, linked to the Rothamsted Research Center and Bangor University, in the Country of Welsh.
“There may be, for example, a combination of climate change, deforestation and biodiversity loss caused by hunting, as well as extreme weather events. All of these factors reflect relatively well the stresses that are affecting the Amazon recently and will affect it in the future.” near future,” summarizes Willcock.
Published in the specialized journal Nature Sustainability, the work of the British team included other real and theoretical examples of environmental collapse, all simulated in computer models with different degrees of complexity.
Translated by José Alberto Gutiérrez
#collapse #Amazon #Brazil